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Oscars 2014: Branches & 'Magic' Numbers

The rolls of the motion picture academy topped six thousand for the first time. All members were able to submit nominations for Best Picture. Read how the final line-up -- which will be revealed at 5:35 am PT on Jan. 15 -- is determined here. And learn how the nominees for the other awards -- as decided by the individual branches -- are arrived at here.

BELOW: The number of members in each branch that uses this system, followed by the "magic" number of first place votes required for a nomination. With five nominees, that is the total members in that branch divided by six plus one. If each of five contenders reaches this number, it is mathematically impossible for a sixth to get there.

Scroll to see the full list as well as the exceptions to this system.

Overall - Best Picture: 6,028 members/549 votes (but 5% rule dictates only 301 votes needed)

Actors: 1,196/197 votes

Sound: 418/70 votes

Writers: 378/64 votes*
* past writing nominees from other branches, such as actors and directors, can vote here too. 

Directors: 377/63 votes

Production Designers: 262/44 votes

Music: 240/41 votes

Film Editors: 230/39 votes

Cinematographers: 228/39 votes

Documentary: 210/36 votes (for Documentary Feature)*
*a special screening committee determines Documentary Short nominees, culling eight semi-finalists down to between three and five nominees using average scoring system. 

Costume Designers: 108/19 votes

The other branches -- Makeup & Hairstylists, Short Films & Feature Animation, and Visual Effects -- each use a different system to arrive at the nominations. 

Short Films & Feature Animation: 366 members: for Animated Feature, all academy members can take part so magic number to find five nominees may be greater than 62; for animated and live action short categories, screening committee drawn from members of the branch determine 10 semi-finalists; all members who have seen these films score them from 6 to 10 and those receiving at least 7.5 average score are nominees up to five in all. 

Makeup & Hairstylists: 135 members; at least 15 needed at special screening to determine seven semi-finalists; all members who have seen these films rank three and those in overall top three are nominees. 

Visual Effects: 323 members; executive committee determines 10 semi-finalists; screening committee uses reweighted range voting to find five nominees. 

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Best Picture Odds

Compare 5 Sets of Oscars Predictions: Experts, Editors, Users, Top 24 Users and Combined

Below is a summary of Best Picture odds and rankings. To see more categories, use the drop-down menu. Click these links to see our prediction sections devoted to the views of our Experts, Editors, Users, Top 24 Users and their Combined views (Gold Derby's official racetrack odds). Make your predictions here -- they're factored into our odds, which are automatically updated every hour.

Category
Oscars 2014: Key Categories

BEST PICTURE:
'Boyhood' fights off strong challenges from 'Birdman' 'The Imitation Game.'
 
BEST DIRECTOR:
Past nominee Bennett Miller ('Foxcatcher') vs. rookies Linklater, Jolie. 
 
BEST ACTOR:
Eddie Redmayne ('The Theory of Everything') rising; Steve Carell ('Foxcatcher') falling.

 
BEST ACTRESS:
New entry Julianne Moore ('Still Alice') leaps ahead of Amy Adams ('Big Eyes').
 
BEST S. ACTOR:
Vet J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash') extends lead over Mark Ruffalo, ('Foxcatcher').
 
BEST S. ACTRESS: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood') far in front for her 12-year commitment to film. 
,
 
Predictions
See how each of these groups ranks the nominees for Best Picture according to likelihood of winning. Click through the links on top of that page to see more categories:
Here's the breakdown of their collective views:
See which ponies the real pros (Gold Derby's editorial staffers) are betting on:
Voting

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Gold Derby Odds: Top TV Races

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Who will win 'Dancing with the Stars'?
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Which team will win 'The Amazing Race'?
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Adam & Bethany 5/1
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Oscars 2014: Compare Odds
Best Picture
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