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Oscars 2014: Branches & 'Magic' Numbers

The rolls of the motion picture academy topped six thousand for the first time. All members were able to submit nominations for Best Picture. Read how the final line-up -- which will be revealed at 5:35 am PT on Jan. 15 -- is determined here. And learn how the nominees for the other awards -- as decided by the individual branches -- are arrived at here.

BELOW: The number of members in each branch that uses this system, followed by the "magic" number of first place votes required for a nomination. With five nominees, that is the total members in that branch divided by six plus one. If each of five contenders reaches this number, it is mathematically impossible for a sixth to get there.

Scroll to see the full list as well as the exceptions to this system.

Overall - Best Picture: 6,028 members/549 votes (but 5% rule dictates only 301 votes needed)

Actors: 1,196/197 votes

Sound: 418/70 votes

Writers: 378/64 votes*
* past writing nominees from other branches, such as actors and directors, can vote here too. 

Directors: 377/63 votes

Production Designers: 262/44 votes

Music: 240/41 votes

Film Editors: 230/39 votes

Cinematographers: 228/39 votes

Documentary: 210/36 votes (for Documentary Feature)*
*a special screening committee determines Documentary Short nominees, culling eight semi-finalists down to between three and five nominees using average scoring system. 

Costume Designers: 108/19 votes

The other branches -- Makeup & Hairstylists, Short Films & Feature Animation, and Visual Effects -- each use a different system to arrive at the nominations. 

Short Films & Feature Animation: 366 members: for Animated Feature, all academy members can take part so magic number to find five nominees may be greater than 62; for animated and live action short categories, screening committee drawn from members of the branch determine 10 semi-finalists; all members who have seen these films score them from 6 to 10 and those receiving at least 7.5 average score are nominees up to five in all. 

Makeup & Hairstylists: 135 members; at least 15 needed at special screening to determine seven semi-finalists; all members who have seen these films rank three and those in overall top three are nominees. 

Visual Effects: 323 members; executive committee determines 10 semi-finalists; screening committee uses reweighted range voting to find five nominees. 

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Oscars 2014: Key Categories

BEST PICTURE:
Can TIFF champ 'The Imitation Game' overtake early frontrunner 'Boyhood'?
 
BEST DIRECTOR:
Past nominee Bennett Miller ('Foxcatcher') vs. rookies Linklater, Jolie. 
 
BEST ACTOR:
Two first-timers:  Michael Keaton ('Birdman') vs. Steve Carell ('Foxcatcher').

 
BEST ACTRESS:
Oscar champ Reese Witherspoon ('Wild') vs also-rans Julianne Moore & Amy Adams.
 
BEST S. ACTOR:
Vet J.K. Simmons ('Whiplash') extends lead over Mark Ruffalo, ('Foxcatcher').
 
BEST S. ACTRESS: Patricia Arquette ('Boyhood') far in front for her 12-year commitment to film. 
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Predictions
See how each of these groups ranks the nominees for Best Picture according to likelihood of winning. Click through the links on top of that page to see more categories:
Here's the breakdown of their collective views:
See which ponies the real pros (Gold Derby's editorial staffers) are betting on:
Voting

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Inside Track: Oscar Predictions

Oscars predictions

Earliest Oscars Predictions Ever

Our Oscarologists are busy updating their predictions as they see more and more contenders. Make your early picks now -- click here -- and change them later as the derby heats up.

Odds   View %  
Experts
1 BoyhoodBoyhood
9/2
2 BirdmanBirdman
6/1
3 UnbrokenUnbroken
15/2
4 The Imitation GameThe Imitation Game
8/1
5 FoxcatcherFoxcatcher
10/1
6 Gone GirlGone Girl
14/1
7 The Theory of EverythingThe Theory of Everyth..
14/1
8 InterstellarInterstellar
16/1
9 The Grand Budapest HotelThe Grand Budapest Ho..
33/1
10 SelmaSelma
50/1
See complete statistics by Clicking Here
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Best Picture
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