Crass vs. class for Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo vs. Helena Bonham Carter

Our first team of 11 experts from various media and our 11 Gold Derby editors disagree strongly about who is ahead in the Best Supporting Actress race. For our experts, Melissa Leo (“The Fighter”) is in the lead while our editor have Helena Bonham Carter (“The King’s Speech”) clearly out in front. While Carter does rank with the experts, Leo is at the back of the pack according to our editors, most of whom have yet to see “The Fighter.”

TEAM MELISSA LEO:
Thelma Adams (Us Weekly, Thelmadams.com),  Scott Feinberg (ScottFeinberg.com), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Guy Lodge (InContention), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily)

TEAM HELENA BONHAM CARTER
Lane Brown (Vulture), Erik Davis (Cinematical), Dave Karger (Entertainment Weekly), Bob Tourtellotte (Reuters)

TEAM JACKI WEAVER
Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere)

Those half dozen first place finishes for Leo and her solid overall showing have her firmly in the lead among the experts while Carter is a strong second place contender.

GOLD DERBY RACETRACK ODDS: EXPERTS
1.) Leo – 9/5
2.) Carter – 12/5

Among the 11 Gold Derby editors, I am one of the few to have seen “The Fighter” and have Leo in the top spot. Nine of our editors are going with Carter for the win, with Barbara Hershey (“Black Swan”) a distant second and Leo barely registering.

GOLD DERBY RACETRACK ODDS: EDITORS
1.) Carter – Even
2.) Hershey – 27/10

See the way the full results translate into odds here. And see our odds for all the top races here. Check out our prediction rankings for Best Picture here, Best Actor here, Best Actress here and Best Supporting Actor here

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Thelma
Adams
,
Us Weekly
Lane
Brown
,
Vulture
Erik
Davis
,
Cinematical
Scott
Feinberg
, ScottFeinberg
Pete
Hammond,

Deadline
Dave
Karger
,
EW
1.

Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

2.

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

Hailee Steinfeld, ‘True Grit’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

3.

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Thandie Newton, ‘For Colored Girls’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

4.

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Hailee Steinfeld, ‘True Grit’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

Hailee Steinfeld, ‘True Grit’

5.

Hailee Steinfeld, ‘True Grit’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Sissy Spacek, ‘Get Low’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Guy
Lodge
,
InContention
Steve
Pond
,
The Wrap
Sasha
Stone
,
Awards Daily
Bob
Tourtellotte
,
Reuters
Jeff
Wells
,
Hollywood
Elsewhere
Overall Ranking
1.

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

2.

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Sissy Spacek, ‘Get Low’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

3.

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’;

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’;

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Mila Kunis, ‘Black Swan’

Hailee Steinfeld, ‘True Grit’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

4.

Kristin Scott Thomas, ‘Nowhere Boy’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

5.

Hailee Steinfeld, ‘True Grit’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kindgom’

Sissy Spacek, ‘Get Low’

Sissy Spacek, ‘Get Low’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Chris
Beachum
Cassandra
Belek
Darrin
Dortch
Chris
Hine
Rob
Licuria
Matt
Noble
1.

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

2.

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

Mila Kunis, ‘Black Swan’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

3.

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’ 

Mila Kunis, ‘Black Swan’

4.

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Mila Kunis, ‘Black Swan’

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

5.

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Marion Cotillard, ‘Inception’

Hailee Steinfeld, ‘True Grit’

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Tom
O’Neil
Andrew
Pickett
David
Schnelwar
Benjamin
Scuglia
Paul
Sheehan
Overall Ranking
1.

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

2.

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘The King’s Speech’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Helena Bonham Carter, ‘King’s Speech’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

3.

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Mila Kunis, ‘Black Swan’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

4.

Amy Adams, ‘The Fighter’

Miranda Richardson, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Thandi Newton, ‘For Colored Girls’

Whoopi Goldberg, ‘For Colored Girls’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

5.

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Dianne Wiest, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Barbara Hershey, ‘Black Swan’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Jacki Weaver, ‘Animal Kingdom’

Melissa Leo, ‘The Fighter’

Photos: Melissa Leo in “The Fighter” (Paramount); Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech” (TWC)

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