Oscar diva smackdown: Experts clash over Bening vs. Portman

Our first team of 11 experts from various media and our 11 Gold Derby editors disagree strongly about who is ahead in the Best Actress race. Five of the experts have Annette Bening (“The Kids Are All Right”) in the first position while five feel Natalie Portman (“Black Swan”) will prevail.

TEAM BENING:
Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Dave Karger (Entertainment Weekly), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Bob Tourtellotte (Reuters)

TEAM PORTMAN
Thelma Adams (Us Weekly, Thelmadams.com), Lane Brown (Vulture), Erik Davis (Cinematical), Scott Feinberg (ScottFeinberg.com), Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere)

TEAM JENNIFER LAWRENCE
Guy Lodge (InContention)

GOLD DERBY RACETRACK ODDS: EXPERTS
1.) Bening – 8/3
2.) Portman – 17/10

Personally, I choose Bening along with two other Gold Derby editors, but most of  our site cohorts disagree. Eight say Portman.

GOLD DERBY RACETRACK ODDS: EDITORS
1.) Portman – 7/4
2.) Bening – 11/5

See the way these results translate into odds here. And see our odds for all the top races here. See our prediction rankings for Best Picture here and Best Actor here.

BEST ACTRESS
Thelma
Adams
,
Us Weekly
Lane
Brown
,
Vulture
Erik
Davis
,
Cinematical
Scott
Feinberg
, ScottFeinberg
Pete
Hammond,
Deadline
Dave
Karger
,
EW
1.

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

2.

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

 Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

3.

Sally Hawkins, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole

Julianne Moore, “Kids Are All Right”

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Michelle
Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

4.

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Julianne Moore, “Kids Are All Right”

5

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Michelle
Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

 

BEST ACTRESS
Guy
Lodge
, InContention
Steve
Pond
,
The Wrap
Sasha
Stone
, Awards Daily
Bob
Tourtellotte
, Reuters
Jeff
Wells
,
Hollywood
Elsewhere
Overall Ranking
1.

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

 Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

 Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

 Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

 Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

2.

 Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

3.

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Michelle Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’ 

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’ 

4.

Julianne Moore, “Kids Are All Right”

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Anne Hathaway, ‘Love and Other Drugs’

Michelle Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’ 

5.

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Julianne Moore, “Kids Are All Right”

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Sally Hawkins, ‘Made in Dagenham’

 Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

 

BEST ACTRESS
Chris
Beachum
Cassandra
Belek
Darrin
Dortch
Chris
Hine
Rob
Licuria
Matt
Noble
1.

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

2.

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Anne Hathaway, ‘Love and Other Drugs’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

3.

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Julianne Moore, “Kids Are All Right”

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Julianne Moore, “Kids Are All Right”

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

4.

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

5

Anne Hathaway, ‘Love and Other Drugs’

Michelle Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Michelle Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Sally Hawkins, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Anne Hathaway, ‘Love and Other Drugs’

 

BEST ACTRESS
Tom
O’Neil
Andrew
Pickett
David
Schnelwar
Benjamin
Scuglia
Paul
Sheehan
Overall Ranking
1.

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

2.

 Natalie Portman, ‘Black Swan’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

Annette Bening, ‘Kids Are All Right’

3.

Michelle
Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Julianne Moore, “Kids Are All Right”

Anne Hathaway, ‘Love and Other Drugs’

 Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

4.

Jennifer Lawrence, ‘Winter’s Bone’

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Lesley Manville, ‘Another Year’

Halle Berry, ‘Frankie and Alice’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’ 

5.

Nicole Kidman, ‘Rabbit Hole’

Sally Hawkins, ‘Made in Dagenham’

Michelle Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Michelle Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Michelle Williams, ‘Blue Valentine’

Anne Hathaway, ‘Love and Other Drugs’

Photos: Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right” (Focus Features); Natalie Portman in “Black Swan” (Fox Searchlight)

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