Sure, it looks like Annette Bening (“The Kids Are All Right”) has the early lead for Best Actress, but we Oscarologists, remember, were blindsided last year by Sandra Bullock. Steve Pond (The Wrap) and I agree: watch out for Natalie Portman (“Black Swan”). Who else? Watch our dishfest below, then see our analysis of the battles over Best Picture and Best Actor. We also tattle on what goes on backstage behind the tinsel at the Oscar ceremony.