For shows that offer lots of competition of their own, look for a big battle between “The Amazing Race” and “Top Chef” to win Best Reality-Competition Series at Sunday’s Emmys. After winning seven years in a row, the CBS game show “The Amazing Race” was bested by Bravo’s “Top Chef” last year According to our exclusive Gold Derby statistics, it could be a tight one again with “TAR” ahead with 7/5 odds while “Top Chef” is in second place with 14/5 odds.
Half of our experts (four of eight), one-third of our editors (four of 12), and 41% of users (224 votes) predict “TAR” to avenge this loss. Producers have entered “You Don’t Get Paid Unless You Win,” a busy and noisy submission episode in India.
In contrast, “Top Chef” has submitted the tearful and sentimental “Give Me Your Huddled Masses” set at Ellis Island and the Statue of Liberty. One expert, Jace Lacob (Daily Beast), is predicting it to win, along with five editors and 24% of users (133 votes).
Coming in next with 13/2 odds is Lifetime’s “Project Runway,” which is the choice of expert Jill Serjeant (Reuters), editors Tom O’Neil and Adam Waldowski, and 8% of users. The show submitted “There’s a Pattern Here” to the judging panel.
Perennial nominee “American Idol” has never won this category and arrives with 8/1 odds. Expert Tim Appelo (The Hollywood Reporter) and 13% of our users have selected the Fox show to finally win. Producers have once again submitted the season finale.
Going out on a limb by himself is Frazier Moore (Associated Press) by predicting “Dancing With the Stars” to prevail. The ABC series has just 7% of user votes and odds of 14/1. The episode is classical week of season 12. “So You Think You Can Dance,” which always wins the choreography Emmy over “DWTS” has the backing of 7% of our users for 50/1 odds; it entered the finale.
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