Can Steve Carell finally win finally win the Emmy as Best Comedy Actor for his final season Scott on “The Office”? In five previous nominations, Carell has lost to Tony Shalhoub (“Monk” – 2006), Ricky Gervais (“Extras” – 2007), Alec Baldwin (“30 Rock” – 2008 & 2009), and Jim Parsons (“The Big Bang Theory” – 2010).
For this year’s race, the only certainties are that Carell, Baldwin, and Parsons will at least be nominated again. Matthew Morrison (“Glee”) made the list last year, but he’s on the bubble because he had less prominence on the show last season. Of the other 2010 contenders, four-time nominee Larry David (“Curb Your Enthusiasm”) had no episodes airing this past season, and three-time champ Shalhoub saw his show end in late 2009. So there will be at least two open positions to fill.
Those stars of returning shows with the best chances of reaping their first bids are Johnny Galecki (“The Big Bang Theory”), Joel McHale (“Community”), and Danny McBride (“Eastbound and Down”). Others trying to make the cut include David Duchovny (“Californication”), Neil Flynn (“The Middle”), Thomas Jane (“Hung”), Zachary Levi (“Chuck”), Josh Radnor (“How I Met Your Mother”), James Roday (“Psych”), and Jason Schwartzman (“Bored to Death”). Of these, only Duchovny has ever been nominated for an Emmy before (“The X Files,” 1997, 1998; “The Larry Sanders Show,” 1997; “Life with Bonnie,” 2003).
Hoping for their first bids for freshman series are Louis C.K. (“Louie”), David Cross (“Increasingly Poor Decisions of Todd Margaret”), Billy Gardell (“Mike and Molly”), Matt LeBlanc (“Episodes”), Lucas Neff (“Raising Hope”) and Matthew Perry (“Mr. Sunshine”). Rob Lowe joined “Parks and Recreation” for its third season and is considered a strong contender for this lead acting race. Lowe contended for Best Drama Actor in 2001 for “The West Wing,” while Perry (2002) and LeBlanc (2002, 2003, 2004) both contended in this race for “Friends.” Perry also had guest drama acting nominations for “The West Wing” in 2003 and 2004.
Gold Derby founder Tom O’Neil and senior editors Chris Beachum and Rob Licuria offer up their predictions and discuss the possibilities in this video slugfest. They are among the experts and editors who have ranked the potential nominees in this race.
Watch our three experts slug it out over these other cliffhanger races: