The 27 Oscar experts polled by Gold Derby have nervously been switching their predictions around during the home stretch of the derby, but an over all consensus remains: Oscar night will be a coronation for “The King’s Speech.”
Twenty pundits pick “King’s Speech” to reign as Best Picture. Six stubbornly stick by the early derby front-runner “The Social Network” and there’s one hold-out for “Inception” (Keith Simanton of IMDB). All 27 gurus believe the film’s star Colin Firth will rule the Best Actor category.
However, a large majority of Oscarologists do not back “The King Speech” helmer Tom Hooper for Best Director even though that award usually agrees with Best Picture. Seventeen pick David Fincher (“The Social Network”) compared to 10 for Hooper, who won the Directors Guild of America Award, which usually matches up with the equivalent Oscar race. See the full breakdown of all predictions HERE from leading Oscarologists from Entertainment Weekly, Reuters, AOL, USA Today, Los Angeles Times, CNN, The Wrap, Awards Daily, In Contention and other major media.
There’s also serious division among the pundits over who’ll win Best Actress. While most forecast Natalie Portman (“Black Swan”), there are some notable pundits who say the winner will be Annette Bening (“The Kids Are All Right”): Thelma Adams (Us Weekly, Thelmadams.com), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Anne Thompson (Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Stu Van Airsdale (Movieline).
Van Airsdale is among the three gurus who believe Geoffrey Rush (“The King’s Speech”) will win Best Supporting Actor; all others opt for Christian Bale (“The Fighter”).
Almost all Oscarologists have been changing predix frantically in recent days as winners of varioius guild awards were revealed. For example, after the results of the ACE Eddies were unveiled, Anne Thompson dropped “Inside Job” for “Exit Through the Gift Shop” as Best Documentary and Pete Hammond dropped “The Fighter” for “The Social Network” in the race for Best Film Editing.
Meantime, I ditched “Inside Job” for another reason: Tariq Khan (Fox News) talked me into getting behind “Restrepo.” Khan dropped Geoffrey Rush because he decided it was a good idea to join the vast majority of his peers on the Christian Bale bandwagon.
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