The 17th annual edition of the Screen Actors Guild Awards air live on TBS and TNT Sunday at 5 pm PT/ 8 pm ET. Will these kudos clear up any remaining confusion as to what will go on to win at the Oscars? Or will there be surprises, as there have been at the other guild awards, that shake up the races?
Our experts and editors have weighed in with their predictions. Almost all of them expect Oscar frontrunners Colin Firth (“The King’s Speech”) and Natalie Portman (“Black Swan”) to prevail tonight. And the great majority of them are predicting both Christian Bale and Melissa Leo from “The Fighter” to take the SAG supporting prizes. However, they are split over which film — “The Fighter,” “The King’s Speech” or “The Social Network” — will win Best Ensemble.
Find out which award will be handed out when over the two-hour kudocast here.
Hit “Reload” to stay up-to-date as we keep score, provide background on each race, and offer instant analysis of what these wins (and losses) mean for the Oscars.
BEST FILM ENSEMBLE
“The Kids Are All Right”
“The King’s Speech”
“The Social Network”
Donald Sutherland named the winner of this final award. Co-producer Geoffrey Rush made special mention of the absent actors from the film, including the children as well as the veteran performers, especially Claire Bloom.
Seven of the 15 past winners have gone on to be named Best Picture at the Oscars.
BEST FILM ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, “True Grit”
Robert Duvall, “Get Low”
Jesse Eisenberg, “The Social Network”
Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
James Franco, “127 Hours”
Nicole Kidman, who got a wolf whistle from hubby Keith Urban, gave this award to Firth, who was part of the 1998 ensemble champ “Shakespeare in Love.” He spoke warmly of receiving his SAG card and how special that had been to him then. And now, he singled out his “dream cast” and their “resident magician” Tom Hooper and “extraordinary writer” David Seidler.
An even dozen of the SAG winners repeated at the Oscars, including the last six in a row.
BEST FILM ACTRESS
Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”
Nicole Kidman, “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence, “Winter’s Bone”
Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
Hilary Swank, “Conviction”
Last year’s Film Actor champ Jeff Bridges (“Crazy Heart”) announced the winner of this category. A composed Portman referenced her career as a child actor and how SAG had taken care of her. She then thanked the cast and director Darren Aronofksy and closed with love to her parents and fiance who she met while making the movie.
Eleven of the 16 past winners repeated at the Oscars including last year’s champ Sandra Bullock (“The Blind Side”).
PAUL SHEEHAN: Charmers Amy Adams and Mark Wahlberg introduced the clip from “The Fighter.”
BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
John Hawkes, “Winter’s Bone”
Jeremy Renner, “The Town”
Mark Ruffalo, “The Kids Are All Right”
Geoffrey Rush, “The King’s Speech”
Susan Sarandon presented this prize to the Oscar frontrunner who is celebrating his birthday today. The real-life Dicky Eklund surprised him on the podium. He thanked his stunning fellow actors, the director, writers, and studio. Bale admitted to loving acting, though said it can be silly at times. He finds people endlessly fascinating. And, he said, with a wry smile, bumping into Mark Wahlberg isn’t a bad way to get a part.
Nine of the 16 SAG winners have gone on to prevail at the Oscars, including the most recent three champs.
Hilary Swank presented the montage that saluted the recently-departed among the acting world: Jill Clayburgh, Leslie Nielsen, Lyyn Redgrave, Robert Culp, Gloria Stuart, Kevin McCarthy, John Forsythe, Anne Francis, Pernell Roberts, Harold Gould, David Nelson, Frances Reid, Larry Keith, Patricia Neal, Danny Aiello III, June Havoc, James MacArthur, Barbara Billingsley, Gary Coleman, Rue McClanahan, Zelda Rubenstein, Fred Foy, Janet MacLachlan, Fess Parker, Lena Horne, Peter Haskell, Peter Graves, Dixie Carter, Tom Bosley, Kathryn Grayson, Pete Postlethwaite, Steve Landesberg, Eddie Fisher, Tony Curtis, Jean Simmons and Dennis Hopper.
BEST TV MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS
Claire Danes, “Temple Grandin”
Catherine O’Hara, “Temple Grandin”
Julia Ormond , “Temple Grandin”
Winona Ryder, “When Love Is Not Enough: The Lois Wilson Story”
Susan Sarandon, “You Don’t Know Jack”
Josh Duhamel and Rosario Dawson handed this award to Danes who also won the Emmy and the Globe for this riveting portrayal of a real-life role model. With no supporting awards on the TV side, this leading lady faced off against two of her co-stars. The well-spoken Danes thanked them, with special mention of the warmth and wit of O’Hara, and closed with a shout-out to her husband Hugh Dancy.
PAUL SHEEHAN: Four friends from “The Social Network” — Jesse Eisenberg, Andrew Garfield, Armie Hammer and Justin Timberlake — introduced a clip from the film.
BEST TV MOVIE/MINI ACTOR
John Goodman, “You Don’t Know Jack”
Al Pacino, “You Don’t Know Jack”
Dennis Quaid, “The Special Relationship”
Edgar Ramirez, “Carlos”
Patrick Stewart, “Macbeth”
Jeremy Renner and Robin Wright announced the absentee winner of this race.
LIFETIME ACHIEVEMENT AWARD
Tim Conway introduced the lifetime achievement honoree Ernest Borgnine. As he recalls, the two met making the 1960s sitcom “McHale’s Navy.” The comedian noted that Borgnine, who just turned 94, has made 164 pictures, the most recent of which was “Red” (“the AARP action movie,” as Conway called it). Conway reeled off the names of Borgnine’s most memorable movies — “From Here to Eternity” and “Marty” — before introducing a montage of his work. The over-the-top narration lessened the impact of the clips and his good works with war veterans. Then “Red” co-star Morgan Freeman strode on to present the prize to Borgnine, who was visibly moved by the warmth reception. The robust honoree was heartfelt in his gratitude and urged his fellow actors to always give their best to their chosen profession.
PAUL SHEEHAN: Nominees Natalie Portman and Mila Kunis stumbled over their intro to a clip from “Black Swan.”
TOM O’NEIL: Then the Best Supporting Actress champ headed into the photo room where she held up her award with gusto.
TOM O’NEIL: Immediately after Melissa Leo came off stage after winning for “The Fighter,” she was interviewed by “Extra” while I lurked behind that scene with a camera.
BEST TV COMEDY ENSEMBLE
“Hot in Cleveland”
Angie Harmon and LL Cool J presided over this category which went to Emmy champ “Modern Family.” All ten of the regular players share in this prize. Patriarch Ed O’Neill spoke on their behalf, thanking the SAG members for recognizing their collective work.
PAUL SHEEHAN: “The King’s Speech” stars Colin Firth, Geoffrey Rush and Helena Bonham Carter presented a surprisingly fast-paced clip from their nominated film.
BEST TV COMEDY ACTRESS
Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”
Tina Fey, “30 Rock”
Jane Lynch, “Glee”
Sofia Vergara, “Modern Family”
Betty White, “Hot in Cleveland”
Jon Hamm was a charmer as he handed this award over to White who ended Fey’s three-year winning streak. The 89-year-old spitfire received a standing ovation as she made her way to the stage. This was the first nom for White who also contends as part of the ensemble. She opened with, “They had to get the old broad up the stairs. This is the biggest surprise I have ever had in this business.” She thanked her co-stars, acknowledging she is working on the happiest set in town. White wrung a laugh from her inappropriate fondling of the statue.
BEST TV COMEDY ACTOR
Alec Baldwin, “30 Rock”
Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
Steve Carell, “The Office”
Chris Colfer, “Glee”
Ed O’Neill, “Modern Family”
Amy Poehler handed the award to Baldwin for an incredible fifth year in a row. He fell flat with a Tina Fey quip about Melissa Leo doing an impersonation of Poehler. He thanked the Teamsters for his daily ride to work as well as the cast and creators.
BEST FILM SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, “The Fighter”
Helena Bonham-Carter, “The King’s Speech”
Mila Kunis, “Black Swan”
Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”
Hailee Steinfeld, “True Grit”
Jason Bateman presented this prize to a heartfelt Leo who first hugged co-star Adams. In her giddy acceptance speech, the Oscar frontrunner thanked the costumer for helping her create the character as well as six of the women who played her daughters in the film. She concluded with a plea for the two acting unions to come together.
Half of the previous 16 SAG champs have gone on to take the Oscar as well while a ninth — Kate Winslet (“The Reader”) — was bumped up and won the Best Actress Academy Award.
PAUL SHEEHAN: Allstate pitchman Dennis Haysbert introduced a montage that whittled 30-second spots down to a fast-moving montage that looked back over the more memorable commercials over the past six decades.
PAUL SHEEHAN: SAG president Ken Howard read off the laundry list of other unions who contribute to film and TV making. And he made a plea to sister union AFTRA to join with SAG in the coming months.
BEST TV DRAMA ENSEMBLE
“The Good Wife”
Taye Diggs (“Private Practice”) and Sofia Vergara (“Modern Family”) handled this award which went to the freshman HBO series. This ended the two-year streak for “Mad Men” and sets up the Emmys for a rematch.
BEST TV DRAMA ACTRESS
Glenn Close, “Damages”
Mariska Hargitay, “Law & Order: SVU”
Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”
Elisabeth Moss, “Mad Men”
Kyra Sedgwick, “The Closer”
Corey Montieth (“Glee”) and Eva Longoria (“Desperate Housewives”) presided over this award which is a record No. 8 for Margulies. She won this award last year for this show, and a half dozen times for “ER” (two individual, four ensemble). In second place is her “ER” co-star Anthony Edwards who has two individual prizes and those four ensemble awards. Margulies credited the creators for the role of a lifetime and thanked the behind-the-scenes talent for making the show look and sound so good. And she closed with a wry smile thanking her in-laws for producing the boy who is now her man.
PAUL SHEEHAN: “The Kids Are All Right” stars Annette Bening and Mark Ruffalo introduced a clip from their film which is a Best Ensemble nominee.
BEST TV DRAMA ACTOR
Steve Buscemi, “Boardwalk Empire”
Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad”
Michael C. Hall, “Dexter”
Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”
Hugh Laurie, “House M.D.”
Last year’s SAG lifetime honoree and nominee Betty White (“Hot in Cleveland”) and four-time champ Alec Baldwin (“30 Rock”) presented the prize to Buscemi. This is his first SAG win, having been a TV Drama Ensemble nominee for “The Sopranos.” He admitted to nerves as he read his thank yous. He singled out one director, Tim Van Patten, and the creator Terrence Winter. And he closed with a shout-out to Martin Scorsese who won the DGA award last night for helming the pilot.
PAUL SHEEHAN: I am an Actor … Jack McBrayer, Julianna Marguiles, Rico Rodriguez, Melissa Leo, & Julia Stiles.
PAUL SHEEHAN: Yikes, what a frenzied, badly-edited, poorly scripted video intro.
TOM O’NEIL: Just 10 minutes to go before the SAG Awards ceremony start and look how EMPTY the press room is. It’ll be packed in a few minutes, though, as soon as the chaos on the red carpet is over – the media will stampede back here them. OMG.
TOM O’NEIL: The limo drop area was relatively peaceful and calm 90 minutes before the show. The rain really dampened the event. Even though the wet stuff stopped falling two hours or so before the show, limos were late to arrive so congestion was light.
RED CARPET RECAPS: Helena Bonham Carter confessed to Ross Mathews that she worn two different colored shoes on the Golden Globes red carpet because she knew she would be criticized regardless. Tonight, she matches but is still likely to be a target for the fashion police.
RED CARPET RECAPS: Giuliana extended best birthday wishes to Christian Bale who said he spent the day with his young daughter. Bale just turned 37 whil her next interviewee — Justin Timberlake — revealed he will be 30 tomorrow.
RED CARPET RECAPS: Chris Harrison is handling the red carpet detail over on TV Guide Network and just bonded with BFF Hilary Swank and Mariska Hargitay who revealed they spent last night with 10 girlfriends in friendly game of Texas Hold ‘Em.
RED CARPET RECAPS: E! is winning the battle of the big names. Red carpert reporter Giuliana Rancic, who has made no secret of her desire to have a baby, is bonding with various recent mothers like Nicole Kidman and Amy Adams as well as the infanticipating Natalie Portman.