‘Mildred Pierce’ destined for Emmy win with 1/3 odds

Not only is the Depression era HBO miniseries “Mildred Pierce” the overall Emmy leader this year with 21 nominations, it is the overwhelming frontrunner to win as Best TV Movie/Miniseries this Sunday night. Our exclusive Gold Derby statistics have it with 1/3 odds, and the support of six of eight experts, 10 of 12 editors, and 67% of our users (392 votes).


The strongest competitor is “Downton Abbey” with 9/2 odds, and is the choice of experts Jace Lacob (Daily Beast) and Melanie McFarland (IMDB), editors Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan, and 15% of users (85 votes). The British import set in Edwardian times, aired on PBS and has 11 nods in all.

Pacing in the third slot is the multiparter “The Kennedys,” a historical drama about the political family from Massachusetts with 10 bids. However, it only has 8% of user votes and 33/1 odds without any expert or editor predictions.

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All of the remaining contenders are far behind with 100/1 odds. HBO has both “Cinema Verite,” a retelling of the 1970s reality show “An American Family,” and “Too Big to Fail,” an examination of the recent financial meltdown in the United States. Starz contends with “The Pillars of the Earth,” a fantasy epic set in 12th century England.

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