‘Les Miserables’ tied again with ‘Argo’ for Best Picture say Oscarologists

The Best Picture race is tied up once again. 

Kevin Polowy (Next Movie) just switched from “Lincoln” to become the ninth of our 25 Experts backing the still-unseen “Les Miserables” for the win, giving it odds of 5 to 1 among our Oscarologists. (See predix of all Experts here and see racetrack odds here.)

Polowy joins Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Sean O’Connell (Hollywood News), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Alex Suskind (Moviefone) and Jeff Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere) in predicting this screen adaptation of the 1987 Tony-winning Best Musical to prevail at the Oscars as well.

Argo” also has nine Experts backing its bid for Best Picture: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Guy Lodge (In Contention/ Hitfix), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today).

This third film from Ben Affleck scored an impressive 86 at Metacritic and is a hit with audiences as well, grossing $43 million in just two weeks. Indeed, so strong is the word-of-mouth that this taut thriller about the rescue of six American hostages from Iran in 1980 fell by only 15% in its second weekend.

Four Experts — Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Dave Karger and Chuck Walton (Fandango) — still favor one-time frontrunner “Silver Linings Playbook” which now has odds of 6 to 1. This winner of the audience award at the Toronto filmfest in September opens on Nov. 21. David O. Russell‘s comedy-drama showcases Jennifer Lawrence who has dominated the Best Actress category for weeks. She currently has the backing of 21 Experts and odds of 9 to 5. 

Michael Musto (Village Voice) and Richard Horgan (Mediabistro/FishbowlLA) support the still-unseen “Zero Dark Thirty.” In her followup to 2009 Best Picture winner “The Hurt Locker,” Oscar champ Kathryn Bigelow tells the tale of Seal Team Six and its hunt for Osama Bin Laden.

And one Expert — Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/Indiewire) — favors “Life of Pi,” Ang Lee‘s 3-D version of Yann Martel‘s fanciful tale of a boy and a Bengal tiger.

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While Steven Spielberg‘s “Lincoln” no longer has any Experts predicting it to win Best Picture, two-time Oscar winner Daniel Day-Lewis, who plays the 16th American president, continues to lead the Best Actor race with the support of 18 Experts and odds of 15 to 8. 

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