ABOVE: Gold Derby editors Tom O’Neil, Chris Beachum and Rob Licuria dish the drama film Globe races.
According to exclusive Gold Derby statistics, Alexander Payne‘s film “The Descendants” is way out front with 2/3 odds to reap the top Golden Globe prize this weekend – Best Drama Picture. The Hawaiian-based flick is about a wealthy man (George Clooney) coping with his two daughters while his wife is near death in a coma. The film is predicted to win by 10 of our 13 Experts, all nine Editors, and 52% of our Users.
Trailing behind are “Hugo” (a 3-D family film directed by Martin Scorsese) with 6/1 odds, “The Help” (starring nominees Viola Davis, Jessica Chastain, and Octavia Spencer in a film based on the best-selling novel set in 1960s Mississippi) with 8/1 odds, “War Horse” (a World War I film directed by Steven Spielberg) with 14/1 odds, “Moneyball” (starring nominees Brad Pitt and Jonah Hill in an adaptation of the non-fiction book about Major League Baseball) with 16/1 odds, and “The Ides of March” (starring nominee Ryan Gosling in a political campaign film directed and co-written by Clooney).
Clooney reaped four nods this year (producing, directing, and writing “The Ides of March” and acting in “The Descendants”). He is a two-time previous acting winner for “O Brother, Where Art Thou?” and “Syriana”, and his performance as Matt King is slightly favored with 8/11 odds for Best Drama Actor. Clooney is predicted by 11 Experts, five Editors, and 56% of Users.
He has incredibly close competition from frequent co-star Pitt, a previous winner for “Twelve Monkeys,” who now has 3/1 odds and the support of one Expert, four Editors, and 23% of Users. The other three nominees are further back with Michael Fassbender (“Shame“) holding 12/1 odds, Leonardo DiCaprio (“J. Edgar“) with 14/1 odds, and Gosling in last place with 25/1 odds. In addition to Clooney and Pitt, DiCaprio (“The Aviator”) is also a previous Globe winner.
Meryl Streep is beloved by Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. voters and reaped her 26th career nomination for her performance as former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher in “The Iron Lady.” She has prevailed seven times, but it has been 29 years (“Sophie’s Choice”) since she last won Best Drama Actress. Our statistics predict her to finally win again with solid 8/13 odds, and the support of 12 Experts, seven Editors, and 49% of Users.
Davis is her next closest competitor at 10/3 odds, followed by Glenn Close (“Albert Nobbs“) with 16/1 odds, and Tilda Swinton (“We Need to Talk About Kevin“) and Rooney Mara (“The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo“) tied with 20/1 odds. While Close has two Globes for television work, the other three ladies have never won at this ceremony before.
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