Will rave reviews boost Oscar odds for ‘Lincoln’?

While Steven Spielberg‘s new film “Lincoln” is predicted to score a Best Picture bid at the Oscars, none of our Experts expect it to prevail. Half of them are backing “Argo” while seven forecast victory for the still unseen “Les Miserables” and two apiece are going with “Life of Pi,” “Silver Linings Playbook” and “Zero Dark Thirty.” 

However, Friday’s slew of rave reviews for “Lincoln” could raise its profile among our Oscarologists as they have done with our Users. The film scores a jawdropping 93 at Rotten Tomatoes and 88 at MetaCritic

Among its most enthusiastic fans was A.O. Scott (New York Times) who said, “‘Lincoln’ is a rough and noble democratic masterpiece – an omen, perhaps, that movies for the people shall not perish from the earth.” Roger Ebert (Chicago Sun-Times) noted, “Rarely has a film attended more carefully to the details of politics” while Owen Glieberman (EW) enthused, “The movie is grand and immersive. It plugs us into the final months of Lincoln’s presidency with a purity that makes us feel transported as though by time machine.

Six of our Experts have “Lincoln” in second place. Four of these have “Argo” winning Best Picture —   Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes),  Michael Hogan (Huffington Post), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily) and  Glenn Whipp (Los Angeles Times) — while Edward Douglas (Coming Soon) is backing “Les Miserables” and Steve Pond (The Wrap) favors “Silver Linings Playbook” for the win. 

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Among the other 20 Experts, “Lincoln” ranks as follows: 

Third place — Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Richard Horgan (Mediabistro/FishbowlLA),  Tariq Khan (Fox News), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby)

Fourth place — Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Dave Karger  (Fandango), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/Indiewire), Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today)

Fifth place — Guy Lodge (In Contention/ Hitfix), Kevin Polowy (Next Movie), Alex Suskind (Moviefone), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Chuck Walton (Fandango)

Sixth place — Sean O’Connell (Hollywood News),  Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby)

Eighth place — Michael Musto (Village Voice)

Ninth place —  Jeff Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere)

2 thoughts on “Will rave reviews boost Oscar odds for ‘Lincoln’?

  1. This is going to come down to Lincoln vs. Les Mis. Both deal with personal crisis, growth, and eventual triumph of the spirit. Both are Oscar catnip, and both will have huge audiences. Everything else is pretty much bits and pieces of individual tastes, quirky critics, and good but not great films.

  2. Yeah, I guess, if Lincon was a more happy and less challenging it would be an easier sell… these so called “experts”, who spend way too much time on “Oscar Friendliness”. Lincoln will kick ass.

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