What do the LA film critics awards tell us about the Oscars?

For those fans of “Zero Dark Thirty,” fear not: the Los Angeles Film Critics Assn. has a spotty record at crystalballing the Oscars. (Read full report of their winners here.)

Last year, the group named “The Descendants” as the Best Picture of the year. It was the New York Film Critics Circle which went with eventual Oscar champ “The Artist.”

In its 37-year history, LAFCA has only predicted seven Best Picture winners. The last of these, ironically, was “ZD30” helmer Kathryn Bigelow‘s “The Hurt Locker” in 2009. Prior to that it was in 1993 when “Schindler’s List” ran the board, winning NYFCC, NBR and LAFCA before triumphing at the Oscars. 

And Bigelow’s win in 2009 was the last of the 11 Best Director Oscar champs that LAFCA foresaw. However, they do much better with the acting awards.

They’ve gotten Best Actor right 21 times, though last year’s LA winner Michael Fassbender was not nominated for any of his leading performances (“A Dangerous Method,” “Jane Eyre,” “Shame” and “X-Men: First Class”).

A dozen of their Best Actress winners went on to claim the Oscar, though their last four picks weren’t even nominated. Three of those were for foreign-language performances, which does not bode well for Emmanuelle Riva (“Amour“). 

-ADDPREDICTION:56:4:Make Your Oscar Predix:ADDPREDICTION-

Fourteen of their choices for Supporting Actor repeated at the Oscars, including Christopher Plummer (“Beginners”) last year.

And thirteen of their Supporting Actress winners picked up matching Oscar bookends. Last year, LAFCA cited Jessica Chastain for six films: “Coriolanus,” “The Debt,” “The Help,” “Take Shelter,” “Texas Killing Fields” and “The Tree of Life.” She contended at the Oscars for “The Help” but lost to co-star Octavia Spencer. 

3 thoughts on “What do the LA film critics awards tell us about the Oscars?

  1. I can answer your question with one word: Nothing. LA films critics have almost always been ona different wavelength than the Academy.

  2. Since 9/11 it’s the War on Terror
    One “false flag” attack so called by error
    Blair, Bush, and Israel had a Pact in store
    Their next surprise is knocking at your door
    A hidden vile Idea from those who want “more”
    will use you and your Belief for the next World War
    As “chosen people” gain while Humankind loses
    Greed wins not by the swords but by the words of Moses
    Daring is to tell you when, better then to tell you rhymes
    could not side with either one to get ready for our times
    to look beyond and past today to seek for a solution
    one only hope is there for you and spells Wavevolution

    ……………….

    A new type of Revolution wins with the ultimate weapon:
    Your Mind

    ……………….

    TV media and newspapers will never tell you that an Israeli firm had placed the explosives that brought down the 3 buildings in NY on 9/11. ICTS was the only security firm in charge for the twin towers and building 7 (most people still do not know about this building that fell without being hit by any plane or other). ICTS was also the security company in charge for all airports that had allowed the highjack planes on 9/11 to depart. The work force of ICTS was the only one people to have access at night inside the 3 buildings and to allow Israeli agents to place those explosives inconspicuously before 9/11. Israeli agents were in fact arrested nearby on 9/11 transporting large amount of explosives in a white van (Chevrolet 2000) but they were later released by the Bush administration.
    Not as a coincidence, the same day, on 9/11 2001, and at the same time a CIA operation called Able Danger, was reproducing a military exercise that was supposed to mimic an attack by few planes crashing on buildings. Now our thought goes to George W. Bush, son of a former head of CIA, George H. Bush, who still holds the line in that agency.
    But all this was never reported by the media although the future of all people depends on how 9/11 is intended. Once the masses will have understood how that attack happened it will take one precise change from all people to go on and coexist.

    http://www.wavevolution.org/en/humanwaves.html

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