Melissa McCarthy frontrunner for guest acting Emmy but last in comedy actress race

Is the glass half full or half empty for Melissa McCarthy at this year’s Emmys? According to the exclusive Gold Derby odds, she is currently in last place to repeat as Comedy Actress but is favored to win Comedy Guest Actress.

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McCarthy was a surprise winner last year for her leading role as Molly Flynn on the CBS laffer “Mike and Molly.” She defeated frontrunners Amy Poehler (“Parks and Recreation“) and Laura Linney (“The Big C“) with the episode “First Date.”

For this year’s race, she has submitted “The Dress,” in which her character struggles to lose weight to fit into her wedding dress. No Experts, no Editors, and only 15 Users are predicting her to win, giving her 25 to 1 odds, putting in her last place with 2010 champ Edie Falco (“Nurse Jackie“).

Julia Louis-Dreyfus (“Veep“) is predicted to prevail with leading odds of 13 to 8, followed by Poehler at 3/1, and then Zooey Deschanel (“New Girl“) at 9/2.

Trailing further behind are Lena Dunham (“Girls“) at 14/1 and 2007 winner Tina Fey (“30 Rock“) at 20/1.

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Much better news awaits McCarthy for guest hosting “Saturday Night Live.” She made her “SNL” debut on the second episode of the season with a musical monologue, plus sketches with her as a lovelorn office worker, a Lawrence Welk singer, a new product taste tester, and an old Hollywood beauty queen.

It was one of the best-reviewed episodes of the year and McCarthy has the support of two Experts, seven Editors, and 49% of Users. She is far out in front to win with odds of 9 to 10. 

In second place is Maya Rudolph, a one-time “SNL” cast member who returned to host;  she has odds of 10/3.

 The other competitors are Kathy Bates (“Two and a Half Men“) at 10/1, Dot-Marie Jones (“Glee“) at 12/1, Elizabeth Banks (“30 Rock”) at 20/1 and Margaret Cho (“30 Rock”) at 50/1.

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