WATCH: Chattin’ Oscars with Keith Simanton and Tom O’Neil

In our webcam chat, Keith Simanton (IMDB) explains why he’s betting (for now) on “Les Miserables” to win the Oscar for Best Picture: “I think if Tom Hooper nails this — which, by all accounts he has — it could sweep up with the older voters in the academy. It’s a well-loved property and it’s got that scope that the Oscar folks love.”

Simanton also believes “Argo” is a strong contender (“they love movies about movies”) as well as one surprise choice: “The Impossible.” “It is a tsumani of a film,” he says, “and, even if you know what happens, it is incredibly suspenseful, sometimes hard to watch, but ultimately satisfying and ennobling.”

Below are two options to catch Simanton’s views on the derby – webcam and audio podcast. See a full breakdown of his predix here.

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