Tommy Lee Jones leaps ahead in Oscar’s supporting actor race


Move over, Philip Seymour Hoffman! There’s a new Oscar frontrunner in the race for Best Supporting Actor, according the experts’ predictions at Gold Derby: Tommy Lee Jones.

Jones now leads with 13 to 5 odds; Hoffman nabs 7 to 2.

For the past two months, Hoffman has held a strong lead over rivals, but, as you can see in the chart above, that edge has diminished consistently in recent weeks. Now Jones, who plays abolitionist Thaddeus Stevens in Steven Spielberg‘s “Lincoln,” is favored by 10 of our 28 Oscarologists.

Jones’ backers: Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Dave Karger (Fandango), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Richard Rushfield (BuzzFeed), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today).

Former frontrunner Philip Seymour Hoffman (“The Master“) now only has the support of six pundits: Michael Musto (Village Voice), Kevin Polowy (Next Movie), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Alex Suskind (Moviefone), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), and Chuck Walton (Fandango).

The change comes as momentum has shifted for their respective films in the awards derby. “Lincoln” led with the most nominations at all three of last week’s awards announcements: Critics’ Choice, Golden Globes, and SAG Awards, including bids at all three for Jones.

Hoffman was also nominated for all three, but “The Master” didn’t perform as well. It was snubbed in all other categories at the SAG Awards, and missed out on a Drama Picture nomination from the Globes, indicating soft support for the film overall.

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The snub by SAG may be especially significant. Of the three groups, only SAG has any overlap with the Academy; actors represent the Academy’s largest branch.

Rounding out our experts’ top five are Robert De Niro (“Silver Linings Playbook“), Alan Arkin (“Argo“), and Leonardo DiCaprio (“Django Unchained“).

See our Experts’ complete rankings here.

2 thoughts on “Tommy Lee Jones leaps ahead in Oscar’s supporting actor race

  1. I think Leo will turn out to be victorious on Oscar night. He’ll be up against a bunch of old guys who have all won before, so I’m sure it’ll be easy for the Academy to check off Leo’s name. Plus, the Academy may figure why not reward Leo now so we don’t have to worry about it in the future.

  2. As much as I think Tommy Lee Jones is a fine actor and will probably end up winning the Oscar this year, this doesn’t excite me at all. Jones’ last win for The Fugitive in 1993 robbed Ralph Fiennes of what was, in my opinion, a much more deserving performance for Schindler’s List. Another Oscar for Jones = more salt on the wounds of Fiennes’ loss.

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