Ben Affleck predicted to win Directors Guild award for ‘Argo’

Ben Affleck may have been snubbed by the Oscars for helming “Argo,” but almost all of our Experts expect him to win at the Directors Guild Awards this Saturday.

Affleck’s strongest competition at the DGA is Steven Spielberg, who extended his record with an eleventh nomination for directing “Lincoln.” 

Backing the bid by Affleck are: Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Thom Geier (EW), Richard Horgan (MediaBistro), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Guy Lodge (HitFix), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Alex Suskind (Moviefone), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone) and Susan Wloszczyna (USA Today). That support, along with those of eight of our Editors and an overwhelming number of our Users, gives Affleck odds of 7/5. 

-ADDPREDICTION:87:549:Click to predict DGA Best Director:ADDPREDICTION-

Forecasting victory for Spielberg are: Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily) and Glenn Whipp (LA Times). He is also expected to prevail by one of our Editors and about 20% of our Users. This support translates into odds of 14/5. 

RELATED: What films could beat ‘Argo’ at Oscars? 

The other three helmers in contention — Kathryn Bigelow (“Zero Dark Thirty“), Tom Hooper (“Les Miserables“) and Ang Lee (“Life of Pi“) — do not figure in the predicitons of our Experts and Editors and each has only a smattering of support from our Users. 

Bigelow won the DGA for “The Hurt Locker” (2009), Hooper for “The King’s Speech” (2010) and Lee for “Brokeback Mountain” (2005). All three went on to repeat at the Oscars.

After last weekend’s double whammy of wins at both the PGA and SAG, “Argo” is now the overwhelming favorite to be named Best Picture at the Oscars

While “Argo” is only Affleck’s third film as a director, Spielberg has won a record three (“The Color Purple,” 1985; “Schindler’s List,” 1993; and “Saving Private Ryan,” 1998) of his past 10 DGA races. He last contended in 2005 for “Munich.” He won Oscars for helming “Schindler’s List” and “Saving Private Ryan.” 

If Spielberg loses at the DGA, he is predicted to get a pretty nice consolation prize — another Oscar. Of the DGA nominees, only he and Lee are in contention at the Oscars. That race is rounded out by Michael Haneke (“Amour“), David O. Russell (“Silver Linings Playbook“) and Benh Zeitlin (“Beasts of the Southern Wild“). 


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4 thoughts on “Ben Affleck predicted to win Directors Guild award for ‘Argo’

  1. The DGA knows better than to go against the Academy now. Only twice has anyone *ever* won DGA without a Best Director nom: Spielberg for The Color Purple (0 for 11) and Ron Howard for Apollo 13 (2 for 9, won only Film Editing & Sound). Even Lee’s DGA for CTHD came with a Best Director nom, though he didn’t win (he won for BBM even though it lost Best Picture). Lee has a slim chance; otherwise it’s Spielberg. Even if the Affleck train somehow keeps rolling tonight (IMO it’s about to derail), he has ZERO chance of winning Best Picture.

  2. This could be one strange year for the Oscars. Based on odds, Argo could win one award. Best Picture.
    Which would suggest that Oscar System is………..broken.

  3. Guys Check ye’re facts. Spielberg DID win for “Schindler’s List” And “Saving Private Ryan” He did NOT win for “The Color Purple” That year, (1985), The Movie was nominated but Spielberg WAS NOT. The Best Director that year was: Sidney Pollack for “Out Of Africa”. I remember because, when Spielberg won for “Schindler’s List” I remember him HALF joking in his speech, “I Was wondering what I had to do to win”

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