Last year, the versatile “Saturday Night Live” comedian Bill Hader reaped a surprise bid for Supporting Comedy Actor. Of our 15 experts, only Ken Tucker predicted he would be nominated while Marcus Dixon was his sole support among our nine editors.
This year, Hader makes the cut with four experts — Tucker again as well as Pete Hammond (Deadline Hollywood), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly) — as well as editor Darrin Dortch. While this level of support gives him odds of only 33/1 which puts him in ninth place, he could well pull off another upset, especially as this was his final season on “SNL.”
After all, last year Hader edged out contenders with far better odds including Nick Offerman (“Parks and Recreation”) who had 12 experts and eight editors predicting a nomination, Simon Helberg (“The Big Bang Theory”) who had five experts backing his bid, and Neil Patrick Harris (“How I Met Your Mother”) who had two experts and three editors in his corner. As well, Hader was cited over past nominees Chris Colfer (“Glee”), Rainn Wilson (“The Office”) and “30 Rock” players Jack McBrayer and Tracy Morgan.
Four of Hader’s rival nominees from last year are expected to reap bids again this year, including a trio from “Modern Family” — Eric Stonestreet (with odds of 14/5), Ty Burrell (10/3) and Ed O’Neill (10/1) — as well as Max Greenfield (“New Girl”) who has odds of 14/1.
However, “Modern Family” star Jesse Tyler Ferguson is predicted to be snubbed this time around as he has odds of only 25/1. Rounding out the race may be two previous nominees — Will Arnett (6/1) and Jeffrey Tambor (16/1) — who could contend again for “Arrested Development.”
However, with Emmy voters knowing that it is their last chance to recognize Hader for his work on “SNL,” I believe he will reap a bid as did his one-time castmates Amy Poehler and Kristen Wiig for their final seasons on this late-night staple.
Before “SNL” performers contended in the supporting comedy categories, they were nominated in the now-defunct Individual Variety/Music Performance race. A half dozen of them — Chevy Chase (1977), Eddie Murphy (1984), Joe Piscopo (1984), Billy Crystal (1985), Dana Carvey (1993) and Phil Hartman (1994) — were nominated there for their farewell appearances.
While none of the “SNL” players won Emmys for their final season, David Hyde-Pierce (“Frasier,” 2004), Cynthia Nixon (“Sex and the City,” 2004); Brad Garrett and Doris Roberts (“Everybody Loves Raymond,” 2005) and Megan Mullaly (“Will & Grace,” 2006) all prevailed in their last year of eligibilty.
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