By canvassing experts, editors and users, Gold Derby has determined that there are 11 women still in contention to reap bids for Best Drama Actress this year. Only six will make the final cut when Emmy nominations are unveiled on July 18.
Those 11 ladies with odds to win of better than 100/1 from any group in our poll — our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, and Overall Users — are profiled below.
Three past winners for their current roles are in the hunt for nominations as are two previous nominees. There will definitely be one open slot since Kathy Bates (“Harry’s Law”) is no longer eligible and six actresses are hoping to replace her and reap their first bids for their current shows.
Claire Danes (“Homeland“) won her second Emmy last year and the first for this role. She is far and away in first place with 2/1 odds to repeat based on votes from nine Experts, five Editors (Chris Beachum, Marcus Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, and Matt Noble), 15 of our Top 24 Users and 33% of Overall Users. Experts supporting her are Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (TV Guide), Lynn Elber (Associated Press), John Kubicek (Buddy TV), Daniel Manu (TV Without Pity), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Matt Roush (TV Guide), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times).
The hot pick of the moment is potential first-time nominee Kerry Washington (“Scandal“). She is in third place and rising at 11/2 with votes from five Experts, two Editors (Darrin Dortch, David Schnelwar), and 9% of Overall Users. Experts backing her are Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), and Ken Tucker (Entertainment Weekly).
Four-time nominee Elisabeth Moss (“Mad Men“) is tied for fourth place at 12/1 with Michelle Dockery (“Downton Abbey“) who was also nominated last year. Moss has votes from 9% of Overall Users compared to 8% for Dockery.
Three-time nominee Connie Britton (“Nashville“) contends for the first time for this freshman show after landing two bids for “Friday Night Lights” and is tied for 10th at 100/1. She does have 50/1 odds from Experts and Overall Users.
In that same position is Glenn Close (“Damages“), who won this category in 2008 and 2009. However, with her series signing off last summer, she has overall odds of only 100/1 odds, albeit with 50/1 odds from Overall Users.
Who do you think will win? Make your predictions below.