By canvassing experts, editors and users, Gold Derby has determined that there are 11 women still in contention to reap bids for Best Drama Supporting Actress this year. Only six will make the final cut when Emmy nominations are unveiled on July 18.
Those ladies with odds to win of better than 100/1 from any group in our poll — our Experts, Editors, Top 24 Users, and Overall Users — are profiled below.
All six of last year’s nominees are eligible to return, but our survey indicates that two are likely to be snubbed.
Dame Maggie Smith (“Downton Abbey“) has yet to lose for her role as the Dowager Countess on her show (in this race last year and in the movie/mini category the year before). She is once again favored to win in 2013 with 23/10 odds and the support of 10 Experts, four Editors (Chris Beachum, Darrin Dortch, Matt Noble, David Schnelwar), eight of our Top 24 Users and 28% of Overall Users. Experts in his corner are Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (TV Guide), Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), John Kubicek (Buddy TV), Daniel Manu (TV Without Pity), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Matt Roush (Entertainment Weekly), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), and Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times).
2012 nominee Anna Gunn (“Breaking Bad“) is close behind in second position at 3/1. She has the votes of three Experts (Lynn Elber, Associated Press; Tom O’Neil, Gold Derby; Ken Tucker, Entertainment Weekly), three Editors (Marcus Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery), five of our Top 24 Users, and 21% of Overall Users.
Monica Potter (“Parenthood“), who would be a first-time nominee, is in fourth with odds of 9/1. She has votes from one Expert (Lynette Rice, Entertainment Weekly), two of the Top 24 Users, and 8% from Overall Users.
Tied in the seventh spot with 33/1 odds and thus just missing out on nominations are: Elizabeth McGovern (“Downton Abbey”) — who was nodded for this role two years ago in the movie/mini category, missed out on a lead bid last year, and is now trying her hand at supporting — and 2010 winner Archie Panjabi (“The Good Wife”) who contended in both 2011 and last year.
Joanne Froggatt (“Downton Abbey”) was a surprise nominee last year but is now in the ninth position. Overall, she has 100/1 odds but has enough support from the Experts for 50/1 odds with them.
Among those we predict to be snubbed are past nominees for current roles Rose Byrne (“Damages“), Sharon Gless (“Burn Notice“), January Jones (“Mad Men”), Kelly Macdonald (“Boardwalk Empire“), Sandra Oh and Chandra Wilson (“Grey’s Anatomy“), as well as newcomers Kate Mara (“House of Cards“), Emily Mortimer, Olivia Munn, Alison Pill (“The Newsroom“) and Hayden Panettiere (“Nashville“).
Who do you think will win? Make your picks below using the easy drag-and-drop menu.