Emmy predictions: ‘Modern Family,’ ‘Breaking Bad,’ ‘Louie,’ ‘Homeland’

Gold Derby surveyed 17 experts, our editors, and hundreds of users to predict the winners of this weekend’s Primetime Emmys.

Below, our predictions for the outcomes in Sunday night’s top races. Our forecasted champs are in gold while potential spoilers are below in italics. (For a breakdown of wins per program click here.)

Click on each category title to be taken to an overview of that race. And be sure to vote for the winner of one of the most competitive races — Movie/Mini Actress — at the bottom of the post. 

COMEDY

BEST COMEDY SERIES
“Modern Family”
Spoiler: “Louie”

BEST COMEDY ACTOR
Louis C.K., “Louie”
Spoiler: Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”

BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Spoiler: Tina Fey, “30 Rock”

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ty Burrell, “Modern Family”
Spoiler: Ed O’Neill, “Modern Family”

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Julie Bowen, “Modern Family”
Spoiler: Jane Krakowski, “30 Rock”

BEST COMEDY WRITING
“30 Rock” – “Last Lunch”
Spoiler: “Louie” – “Daddy’s Girlfriend, Part 1”

BEST COMEDY DIRECTING
“Louie” – “New Year’s Eve”
Spoiler: “30 Rock” – “Hogcock/Last Lunch”
 

DRAMA

BEST DRAMA SERIES
“Breaking Bad”
Spoiler: “Homeland”

BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad”
Spoiler: Damian Lewis, “Homeland”

BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Spoiler: Kerry Washington, “Scandal”

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Mandy Patinkin, “Homeland”
Spoiler: Aaron Paul, “Breaking Bad”

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Anna Gunn, “Breaking Bad”
Spoiler: Maggie Smith, “Downton Abbey”

BEST DRAMA WRITING
“Homeland” – “Q&A”
Spoiler: “Game of Thrones” – “The Rains of Castamere”

BEST DRAMA DIRECTING
“House of Cards” – “Chapter 1  (Pilot)”
Spoiler: “Breaking Bad” – “Gliding Over All”

MOVIE/MINISERIES

BEST MOVIE/MINISERIES
“Behind the Candelabra”
Spoiler: “American Horror Story: Asylum”

BEST MOVIE/MINI ACTOR
Michael Douglas, “Behind the Candelabra”
Spoiler: Matt Damon, “Behind the Candelabra”

BEST MOVIE/MINI ACTRESS
Jessica Lange, “American Horror Story: Asylum”
Spoiler: Elisabeth Moss, “Top of the Lake”

BEST MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTOR
James Cromwell, “American Horror Story: Asylum”
Spoiler: Peter Mullan, “Top of the Lake”

BEST MOVIE/MINI SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Sarah Paulson, “American Horror Story: Asylum”
Spoiler: Ellen Burstyn, “Political Animals”

BEST MOVIE/MINI WRITING
“Behind the Candelabra”
Spoiler: “Top of the Lake”

BEST MOVIE/MINI DIRECTING
“Behind the Candelabra”
Spoiler: “Top of the Lake”
 

VARIETY

BEST VARIETY SERIES
“The Daily Show with Jon Stewart”
Spoiler: “The Colbert Report”
 

REALITY

BEST REALITY-COMPETITION SERIES
“The Amazing Race”
Spoiler: “The Voice”

One thought on “Emmy predictions: ‘Modern Family,’ ‘Breaking Bad,’ ‘Louie,’ ‘Homeland’

  1. You don’t get the point, here is the thing, The only available night to watch TV is Sunday, that’s where all the prestige shows are and that where the winners are. Most of the these Emmy-nominated shows aired on a regular weeknight, some people work a late shift and missed it and have to watch a recording on DVR or on a VHS tape. The only day you can’t do it is Sunday, that’s where shows like Breaking Bad, Downton Abbey, and oh lord, The Amazing Race, can roam free for viewers. They would be killed to death if they move to a weeknight up against shows like Dancing With The Stars and The Voice, because if these shows moved to Sundays, the ratings might bump. But NBC has football on Sundays in fall and then dead air, and ABC aired Dancing on a Sunday before, the Season 2 finale, up against the Turin closing ceremonies, and did well. Are they on Sundays? No, there on Mondays, in favor of (gulp) Once Upon A Time and Revenge, two middle of the road shows with little to no Emmy cred. And whose casting these shows? CBS keeps catering towards the older set because if they cast the young adult set, they’ll panic. Also, Dancing and The Voice do have older contestants, but they’re gone quickly for the attractive contestants for the 18-49 demo, The Amazing Race doesn’t follow, the network says, hired young contestants, no older contestants, let’s have three judges, you’re racing in a studio, toll-free phone numbers, and it’s LIVE! and no one will watch that. The Emmy committee needs to let the viewers in the 18-49 demo, to give the right to vote for the viewers, not the old-munching conservative people The Emmys choose to vote, God. If The 18-49 vote, best reality-competition series, The Voice and Best Variety-Music- Comedy Series, The Colbert Report. There beat that, because you’re gonna to lose in the Emmy pool at the office or at a party.

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