Experts’ Emmy predictions: Bryan Cranston (‘Breaking Bad’) will tie record for Best Drama Actor wins

If our experts are correct, Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad“) will be “the one who knocks” on Emmy’s door this Sunday in the highly competitve race for Best Drama Actor.

This would be Cranston’s fourth win in this category, tying him with current record-holder Dennis Franz who took home four trophies in the 90s for “NYPD Blue.”

Cranston has impressive odds of 2/3, or just under 60% of the vote from our vast array of Emmy experts. Eleven out of 17 gurus are betting on Cranston: Robert Bianco (USA Today), Debra Birnbaum (TV Guide Magazine), Mike Cidoni (Associated Press), A.J. Hammer (CNN HLN Showbiz Tonight), Melanie McFarland (IMDB), Steve Pond (TheWrap), Lynette Rice (Entertainment Weekly), Matt Roush (TV Guide Magazine), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Piya Sinha-Roy (Reuters), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times). But where do the other six votes fall?

There’s a two-way tie for second place, as both Damian Lewis (“Homeland“) and Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards“) have 9/2 odds, or just under 20% of the vote.

The three experts backing the bid for Lewis are Daniel Manu (TelevisionWithoutPity), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood) and our own Tom O’Neil, while the trio of Spacey supporters are Lynn Elber (Associated Press), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter) and Ken Tucker.

Lewis is hoping to repeat his surprise Emmy victory from last year, while two-time Oscar winner Spacey (“The Usual Suspects,” “American Beauty”) is on the hunt to win his very first Emmy award.

Out of the race completely according to our experts are repeat also-rans Hugh Bonneville (“Downton Abbey“) and Jon Hamm (“Mad Men“) and first-time nominee Jeff Daniels (“The Newsroom“).

Our editors have a vastly different interpretation of this Emmy race, as six of them (Chris Beachum, Marcus Dixon, Rob Licuria, Daniel Montgomery, Matt Noble and Tom O’Neil) are backing Lewis due in part to his fantastic episode submission “Q&A.” The other two editors (David Schnelwar and Paul Sheehan) are playing it safe with Cranston. See the individual editors rankings here.

Meanwhile, Gold Derby’s Top 24 Users are split between Lewis (13 votes), Cranston (nine votes), Spacey (one vote) and Hamm (one vote). See the rankings of the Top 24 here.

Find out who wins the Emmy for Best Drama Actor when Neil Patrick Harris hosts the 65th Primetime Emmys on Sunday night. Before then, check out our editors’ slugfest on this race and vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu.

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