Now that we know the Golden Globes nominees for film, who is out front to win?
“12 Years a Slave” and “American Hustle” were the nominations leaders, so are they the ones to beat in their respective races for Best Picture (Drama) and Best Picture (Musical/Comedy)? Possibly. Last year’s musical/comedy winner, “Les Miserables,” was tied for the most nominations in its category, but dramatic winner “Argo” trailed “Lincoln” seven nominations to five.
The Hollywood Foreign Press Association often prides itself on being an important stop on the road Oscar, so we should expect to see some of the Oscar frontrunners deliver their Oscar auditions.
“American Hustle” is likely to be a major Oscar threat, but watch out for “Nebraska,” which did better than expected with five nominations, including bids for Best Screenplay and Best Director (Alexander Payne).
In the drama race, “12 Years” will face a tough challenge from four-time nominee “Gravity,” held back from more nominations because it showcases only one actor and is famous more for its visual style than its screenplay. But Alfonso Cuaron‘s sci-fi spectacle could prevail much the way “Avatar” did in 2009.
In top acting categories “Gravity’s” Bullock will face off against Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine“) for Best Drama Actress, while Best Drama Actor may come down to Chiwetel Ejiofor (“12 Years”) and Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club“). Robert Redford (“All is Lost“) was recognized here after being snubbed by the SAG Awards, and the HFPA loves A-list stars, so we shouldn’t rule him out either.
Bruce Dern (“Nebraska”) just earned a SAG nomination, while Leonardo DiCaprio (“Wolf of Wall Street”) was overlooked by that group, but given the Globes’ admiration for big stars, DiCaprio might have the edge for Musical/Comedy Actor. It would be his second win, following a victory in the dramatic category for Scorsese’s “The Aviator.”