Updated Oscar predictions from 23 Experts: ’12 Years a Slave’ poised to sweep

A week after opening in limited release to rave reviews and respectable box office, “12 Years a Slave”  still leads the Best Picture lineup at the Oscars with 15 pundits picking it to prevail. That support gives it odds of 7 to 2. Compare that to five votes and odds of 11 to 2 for the blockbuster smash “Gravity” and three votes and odds of 15 to 2 for the still-unseen “American Hustle.”.

Likewise, for Best Director “12 Years” helmer Steve McQueen is ahead of “Gravity” writer/director Alfonso Cuaron by a score of 13 Experts (and odds of 21 to 10) to seven (and odds of 27 to 10) with “Hustle” writer/director David O. Russell in third with three votes and odds of 11 to 2. 

“12 Years” star Chiwetel Ejiofor (“12 Years a Slave”) maintains his slim lead in Best Actor with 11 votes and 23/10 odds, followed closely by Robert Redford (“All is Lost“) with 10 votes and 3/1 odds while Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club“) and Tom Hanks (“Captain Phillips“) have one vote apiece and 11/2 odds.

And two of the featured players in “12 Years” are tipped to take the supporting awards: Lupita Nyongo extends her lead over one-time frontrunner Oprah Winfrey (“The Butler“) to 14 votes (and odds of 2 to 1) versus nine (and odds of 27 to 10) while Michael Fassbender has a one-vote edge over Jared Leto (“Dallas Buyers Club“). That is good enough for odds of 9/4 versus 12/5. 

Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine“) continues to dominate the Best Actress category with 18 votes and 13/8 odds, Sandra Bullock in “Gravity” has chipped into her lead with five votes and 14/5 odds.

See the full list of odds and rankings here. And see how each Expert ranks each category here.

What do you think is going to win Best Picture? Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. 

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