Oscars predictions update: Thelma Adams vs. Tom O’Neil (podcast)

“After Critics’ Choice, SAG and Golden Globe nominations, we see at the top there are three movies – ‘12 Years a Slave,’ ‘American Hustle‘ and ‘Gravity‘” that lead the Oscars’ Best Picture race, says Thelma Adams (Yahoo) in a podcast chat with Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby). Adams predicts “12 Years a Slave” will win, but she admits her predictions are still tentative while pundits wait for more tea leaves arriving soon from upcoming guild awards.

“I think there’s no damage calling it ‘12 Years a Slave‘ today,” she adds. “‘American Hustle‘ is the latest, cutest on the block right now, but there’s still some time to see what shifts.”

O’Neil holds firm behind “Gravity” with his predictions, saying, “Yes, ‘American Hustle‘ and ‘12 Years a Slave‘ lead with the most nominations at these precursor awards, but ‘Gravity‘ has a built-in disadvantage. We know it’s not going to get a screenplay nomination. We know Clooney’s not going to get in. But you, Thelma, have Alfonso Cuaron in your number-one position for Best Director, so do I. That often decides the race.”

See how Adams’ and O’Neil’s predictions compare to 25 other leading pundits, including Yahoo’s Kevin Polowyhere. When all predictions are combined, they translate into these rankings and racetrack odds.

Below: Listen Adams and O’Neil battle over all of the top Oscar races while sizing up the recent awards from the New York Film Critics Circle, Los Angeles Film Critics Circle Association and nominations from the Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild and Critics Choice Awards. Podcast can also be downloaded at iTunes or here.
 

 

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