More than 420 Gold Derby readers predicted the winners of this year’s National Board of Review Awards. In total, our Users logged more than 2,600 predictions. To see how you fared, log in to your account and under your profile picture click National Board of Review Awards 2013.
The tastes of the NBR proved much harder to pin down than the New York Film Critics Circle, which announced their winners on December 3. No one predicted that “Her” would win Best Picture and Best Director. Only four predicted Emma Thompson‘s Best Actress win for “Saving Mr. Banks.” and only one anticipated Octavia Spencer‘s Best Supporting Actress victory for “Fruitvale Station.”
The NBR’s choices were so unpredictable that our best users — Cinemateo21 and dottardi — correctly picked only one third of winners. Both foresaw the Best Actor win for Bruce Dern (“Nebraska“) and the Original Screenplay win for “Inside Llewyn Davis.”
That’s far ahead of our editors. Only three out of the seven — Chris Beachum, Charles Bright, and Daniel Montgomery — were correct in any categories, with one apiece. All three had the same correct prediction: Best Animated Feature for “The Wind Rises.”
Overall, users had the best average (6%), narrowly outperforming editors (5%). That means that any bold NBR predictor with any correct predictions scored above the average.