‘Argo’ wins Best Picture from Producers’ Guild of America – Oscar next?

Argo won the Best Picture award from the Producers Guild of America on Saturday night, beating “Beasts of the Southern Wild,” “Django Unchained,” “Les Miserables,” “Life of Pi,” “Lincoln,” “Moonrise Kingdom,” “Silver Linings Playbook,” “Skyfall” and “Zero Dark Thirty.” The PGA Award uses the same preferential system of ballot counting used by the Oscars and often the two top prizes agree. Sizes of the two voting groups is significantly different, however. There are more than 5,000 members of PGA, compared to about 500 members of the academy’s producers’ branch.

The PGA and Oscars have concurred on 16 of the last 23 Best Picture champs – including all choices in the past five years. Below is the list of PGA Award champs since 2000. Asterisk signifies winner of Oscar for Best Picture:

2011: “The Artist”*
2010: “The King’s Speech”*
2009: “The Hurt Locker”*
2008: “Slumdog Millionaire”*
2007: “No Country for Old Men”*
2006: “Little Miss Sunshine”
2005: “Brokeback Mountain”
2004: “The Aviator”
2003: “The Lord of the Rings: “The Return of the King”*
2002: “Chicago”*
2001: “Moulin Rouge!”
2000: “Gladiator”*

This year the two awards agreed on eight nominees. Two of the PGA contenders didn’t make the Oscar list: “Moonrise Kingdom” and “Skyfall.” Academy voters only chose nine nominees, preferring “Amour” over PGA options.

Of the 14 award pundits polled by Gold Derby, 10 predicted “Argo” would win the PGA Award, while four opted for “Lincoln.” See breakdown here.

Twenty-five pundits predict the Oscars: 13 currently believe “Lincoln” will win Best Picture, 11 say “Argo” and one holds out for “Silver Linings Playbook.” See breakdown here.

Below is the full list of PGA Awards nominees and winners.

MOVIES

BEST PICTURE
X — “Argo”
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
“Lincoln”
“Moonrise Kingdom”
“Silver Linings Playbook”
“Skyfall”
Zero Dark Thirty

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
“Brave”
“Frankenweenie”
“Paranorman”
“Rise of the Guardians”
X — “Wreck-It Ralph”

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
“A People Uncounted”
“The Gatekeepers”
“The Island President”
“The Other Dream Team”
X — “Searching for Sugar Man”

TELEVISION

BEST TV COMEDY SERIES
“30 Rock”
“The Big Bang Theory”
 “Curb Your Enthusiasm”
“Louie”
X — “Modern Family”

BEST TV DRAMA SERIES
“Breaking Bad” 
“Downton Abbey”
“Game of Thrones”
X — “Homeland”
“Mad Men”

BEST TV MOVIE/MINISERIES
“American Horror Story”
“The Dust Bowl”
X — “Game Change”
“Hatfields and McCoys”
“Sherlock”

BEST VARIETY SERIES
X — “The Colbert Report”
“Jimmy Kimmel Live”
“Late Night with Jimmy Fallon”
“Real Time with Bill Maher”
“Saturday Night Live”

BEST REALITY SERIES
X — “American Masters”
“Anthony Bourdain: No Reservations”
“Deadliest Catch”
“Inside the Actors Studio”
“Shark Tank”

BEST REALITY-COMPETITION SERIES
X — “The Amazing Race”
“Dancing With the Stars”
“Project Runway”
“Top Chef”
“The Voice” 

5 thoughts on “‘Argo’ wins Best Picture from Producers’ Guild of America – Oscar next?

  1. “There are more than 5,000 members of PGA, compared to about 500 members of the Producers’ Guild.” Not possible since the PGA *is* the Producers’ Guild. Perhaps you meant over 5,000 members of the Academy (true)? Still doesn’t change the curse of Affleck’s Best Director snub; Argo will NOT win Best Picture. (If they did, Spielberg would be fully justified in asking the Academy to take back Out of Africa’s 1985 BP award and give it to him for The Color Purple.)

  2. @R.Brittain. Argo CAN and probably WILL win Best Pic. If the ballot system was different others would have a better chance, but the fact is that everybody likes Argo, whereas Lincoln, SLP, Les Miz, etc. all have their detractors. However, there have been a few twists and turns in this race, so it ain’t over till it’s over.

  3. Seeing “Little Miss Sunshine” and “Moulin Rouge” (films that also missed out on Oscar’s crucial Best Director nomination, and lost the Oscar for Best Picture) on a list of PGA winners doesn’t exactly make a strong argument for the case of “Argo” winning Best Picture at the Oscars.

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