Expert Glenn Whipp (LA Times) mostly agrees with the consensus when it comes to who’s ahead in this year’s top Emmy races. He’s betting on repeat wins for “Modern Family” and “Homeland” as Best Comedy and Best Drama, respectively.
He also agrees with a majority of predictors that “Behind the Candelabra” will win Best Movie/Miniseries and that “The Daily Show with Jon Stewart” will continue its decade-long sweep of the Best Variety Series category.
But he goes out on a limb for a number of underdog contenders. He is one of four experts predicting Kevin Spacey (“House of Cards“) to prevail as Best Drama Actor against previous winners Bryan Cranston (“Breaking Bad“) and Damian Lewis (“Homeland“). Spacey currently ranks third behind those actors in our overall odds.
However, Whipp is the only expert predicting Elisabeth Moss to win Best Movie/Miniseries Actress for Sundance’s “Top of the Lake.” She faces off against heavy favorite Jessica Lange, who starred in “American Horror Story: Asylum” and won an Emmy just last year in the supporting race for the first season of the FX anthology series. The two actresses recently faced off at the Critics’ Choice Awards, where Moss was the surprise victor.
Whipp is also predicting a Movie/Mini Supporting Actor win for Moss’s “Top of the Lake” co-star, Peter Mullan, who plays the patriarch of a New Zealand crime family. He’s the only expert predicting Mullan, but he’s joined by two editors and 29 users, placing the actor third in our overall odds behind James Cromwell (“AHS: Asylum”) and Jeffrey Tambor (“Phil Spector“).
Among other surprises he predicts are a Drama Guest Actor bid for Patton Oswalt (“Justified“), currently ranked 15th in our overall rankings, and a Comedy Supporting Actor nomination for Adam Driver (“Girls“), whom we currently rank 10th.