Just a few months after winning Best Drama for the first time at the Emmys and airing its series finale to record ratings, “Breaking Bad” will continue its victory lap with a Best Drama Ensemble win at the SAG Awards, according to our predictors, who overwhelmingly favor the AMC drama. It gets 13/8 odds overall.
Though the series has been a hit at the Emmys since its first season, it didn’t win its first SAG Award until last year – Best Drama Actor for Bryan Cranston – and has only been nominated twice for Best Drama Ensemble.
To win the top prize, it’ll have to get past last year’s winner, the PBS period drama “Downton Abbey,” whose crowded cast of British thespians makes it uniquely well suited to SAG’s Ensemble award. It ranks second with 7/2 odds.
“Homeland” is in third place with 13/2 odds. The Showtime espionage drama was nominated for the first time last year after being snubbed in 2011.
With 9/1 odds, “Game of Thrones” is also a likely nominee. The HBO fantasy series, which rivals “Downton” in the sheer size of its cast, won Best Stunt Ensemble both times it was nominated, but it was snubbed in this category last year.
Battling for the last slot are Netflix’s new drama “House of Cards,” whose cast is led by SAG-winner Kevin Spacey and three-time SAG nominee Robin Wright, and two-time winner “Mad Men” (2008-2009), which has been nominated every year it has been eligible. “Mad Men” currently gets a slight edge with 14/1 odds, compared to 16/1 for “Cards.”
“American Horror Story: Coven” and “Boardwalk Empire” trail with 50/1 odds each. “Horror Story” has never received a nomination for its ensemble, but “Boardwalk” has been nominated three times in a row, winning in 2010 and 2011.
Can any show beat “Breaking Bad”? Make your predictions below: