Why ‘American Hustle’ will WIN at least one acting Oscar

Not so fast, Matthew McConaughey, Cate Blanchett, Jared Leto and Lupita Nyong’o!

While those four stars are Gold Derby’s odds-on favorites to win Best Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress respectively, history tells us we may be in for a shock (or two) on Oscar night thanks to “American Hustle‘s” quartet of nominated stars — Christian Bale, Amy Adams, Bradley Cooper and Jennifer Lawrence

Since the academy introduced the supporting categories at the ninth ceremony in 1936, only 15 films have been nominated in all four acting races, including “American Hustle” this year and “Silver Linings Playbook” last, both of which were directed by David O. Russell. He is the only person to helm two such quadruple threats. 

Of the 14 previous films that contended across all four acting categories, a whopping 12 of them won at least one acting award on Oscar night: Five of them won one race (including “Silver Linings” for Lawrence last year), five claimed two and a pair of pictures (“A Streetcar Named Desire” and “Network”) won three apiece. 

So what’s the point of this Oscar History 101 lesson?

Only two films lost all four acting races: “My Man Godfrey” (1936) and “Sunset Boulevard” (1950). If “American Hustle” is shut out, it will mark the first time in 63 years that’s happened and only the third time ever. So, isn’t it time to start rethinking your predictions?

Which “American Hustle” star has the best shot at keeping the streak alive?

With 9/2 odds, Best Supporting Actress nominee Jennifer Lawrence has the best odds among the “American Hustle” player to prevail. Nyong’o is in the lead at 3/10.

Best Actress nominee Amy Adams has the next best chance with 20/1 odds. This would be her first win after four previous nominations in the supporting race. Blanchett is far ahead with 1/10 odds.

Bradley Cooper, like Lawrence, has back-to-back nominations thanks to the one-two punch of “Silver Linings Playbook” and “American Hustle.” He has 50/1 odds of winning Best Supporting Actor, putting him in third place behind Leto at 1/10 and Michael Fassbender with 33/1 odds.

In dead last for Best Actor is Christian Bale who was a surprise nominee in this crowded category. Bale previously claimed victory for yet another Russell movie “The Fighter” (2010), but his chances of doubling down with another win here are slim to none. McConaughey leads this race with 2/11 odds.

Vote below in the competitive Best Supporting Actress race using our easy drag-and-drop menu, then view our new photo gallery highlighting all 15 Oscar films nominated for the four acting races.

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