‘American Idol’ analysis: Sorry, bottom three contestants – you won’t win!

Just imagine what’s going through the minds of popular “American Idol” singers like Sam Woolf (above, left) and Majesty Rose (above, right) right now, after having appeared in the bottom three already this season.

They must be in a state of perpetual anxiety, wondering, “Does America secretly hate me?”

Can Sam and Majesty rebound to win Season 13, or do those dreaded metal stools signal the beginning of the end for these contestants’ runs? Despite their recent poor showings, the silver lining is that there are still two months left of competition and anything can happen… right?

To better size up this year’s unpredictable season, let’s look at the first 12 years of “Idol” to determine how often the ultimate winner previously appeared in the bottom three (or bottom two) throughout their competition. Here’s the breakdown:

Season 1 (2002)
Winner: Kelly Clarkson
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 2 (2003)
Winner: Ruben Studdard
Number of times in bottom: One (Top 5 week)

Season 3 (2004)
Winner: Fantasia Barrino
Number of times in bottom: Two (Top 7 week and Top 4 week)

Season 4 (2005)
Winner: Carrie Underwood
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 5 (2006)
Winner: Taylor Hicks
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 6 (2007)
Winner: Jordin Sparks
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 7 (2008)
Winner: David Cook
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 8 (2009)
Winner: Kris Allen
Number of times in bottom: One (Top 5 week)

Season 9 (2010)
Winner: Lee DeWyze
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 10 (2011)
Winner: Scotty McCreery
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 11 (2012)
Winner: Phillip Phillips
Number of times in bottom: Zero

Season 12 (2013)
Winner: Candice Glover
Number of times in bottom: One (Top 4 week)

So, what’s it all mean for Sam and Majesty?

Eight of the past 12 champs wound up winning their season of “American Idol” without ever being in the dreaded bottom three or two. It should be noted though that of the four singers who still won after previously appearing in the bottom — Ruben, Fantasia, Kris and Candice — their low votes came in the latter weeks of the show when there weren’t that many contestants left.

No winner has ever been in the bottom three prior to Top 7 week, which means bad news for this season’s remaining nine contestants who’ve already wound up there based on America’s votes: Sam, Majesty, Dexter Roberts, Jena Irene and Malaya Watson.

Essentially what these numbers reveal is that the winner of “American Idol” Season 13 will be someone that hasn’t yet been in the bottom. There are only four contestants that fit that bill — Alex Preston, Caleb Johnson, Jessica Meuse and C.J. Harris — so look out for one of these singers to be this season’s winner.

RELATED: ‘American Idol’ predictions: ‘Awkward’ Alex Preston now has best odds to win

To make your predictions, log in to your free Gold Derby account, click on the “American Idol” button and then answer our weekly questions.

The user with the most points at the end of the season will receive two tickets to a live taping of “American Idol” next season (airfare and lodging not included) plus a $100 Amazon gift card. So what are you waiting for? Start voting!

2 thoughts on “‘American Idol’ analysis: Sorry, bottom three contestants – you won’t win!

  1. Also, when Fantasia was in the bottom 3 during top 7 week, she was in the bottom 3 with Jennifer Hudson and LaToya London. They clearly were splitting the soul diva fan base 3 ways.

    When this season started I thought Alex Preston had no chance because he’s a bit “odd”, but now I think he’s the frontrunner with Jena as the dark horse. Everyone else is just too cheese ball. And Majesty is very overrated. This season as a whole is the worst talent they’ve ever had.

  2. Never been bottom three doesn’t meant a winner. The vote is based on the performance the night before, as Harry said…The persons who have “never been bottom three” were never top 1 and top 2 at every week too…

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