Oscars predictions: ‘Birdman’ flies to second place in Best Picture race

Birdman” has sprouted Oscar wings since it was seen at the Venice and Telluride Film Festivals. Over the past few days it soared up from fourth place in the rankings of our Experts’ predictions to second place (with 6 to 1 odds) right behind “Boyhood” (9/2).

Birdman” just surpassed “Foxcatcher” (now ranked fourth with 8 to 1 odd) and “Unbroken” (13 to 2). Its climb has been steady since predictions were first posted on Aug. 20 with “Birdman” in sixth place (16/1).

Three Experts out of 16 now predict it will win Best Picture: Thelma Adams (Yahoo), Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and Paul Sheehen (Gold Derby).

Boyhood” remains out front with eight Experts picking it to win: Michael Musto (Out), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Steve Pond (TheWrap), Christopher Rosen (HuffPo), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (AwardsDaily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ IndieWire) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

Unbroken” is in third place with four pundits picking it to prevail: Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly) and me. Tariq Khan (Fox News) is the sole seer backing “Foxcatcher.”

Rankings are notably different when the Experts’ predictions are merged with those by Gold Derby’s Editors, Top 24 Users (who had the best picks last year) and all Users (840 cast votes now). Current Best Picture rundown of our official Gold Derby predictions:

1.) “Boyhood” (11/2)
2.) “Unbroken” (6/1)
3.) “Foxcatcher” (13/2)
4.) “Birdman” (13/2)
5.) “Gone Girl” (10/1)
6.) “Interstellar” (14/1)
7.) “Inherent Vice” (20/1)
8.) “The Imitation Game” (20/1)
9.) “The Grand Budapest Hotel” (25/1)
10.) “Fury” (33/1)

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