Eleven of our 13 Experts are predicting the AMC criminal thriller to triumph again for its final season, which aired last summer. If it manages to do, it will be that rarity among Emmy champs. Among those drama series to lose for their last seasons were: 2005 winner “Lost” in 2010; four-time champ “The West Wing” in 2006, and “Friday Night Lights” (2011). The most recent drama series to prevail for its final season was “The Sopranos” (2007). Three decades earlier, Brit hit “Upstairs, Downstairs” had done the same.
Our two outliers among our Experts each foresee victory for a different show: Ken Tucker is betting on freshman contender “True Detective” while Gold Derby’s own Tom O’Neil expects the sophomore season of “House of Cards” to succeed.
All of our Editors save O’Neil, all but two of our Top 24 Users (from last year’s pool of Emmy prognosticators) and three-quarters of all Users are backing this bid by “Breaking Bad.” That overwhelming support gives this showcase Bryan Cranston leading odds of 19/10.
One of our Top 24 Users and 10% of all Users side with Tucker in predicting victory for “True Dective,” that hard-nosed anthology starring Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson. This is good enough for second place odds of 9/2.
While “Game of Thrones” is a ratings juggernaut, only 5% of our Users expect it to finally win this award on its fourth try; that gives it odds of 8/1.
“The Good Wife” may be on a creative upswing but only a smattering of Users expect it to win while four-time champ “Mad Men” has the backing of just a handful of Users. They are tied at 14/1 each.
Take a tour through our photo gallery below, which features the top 10 Drama Series contenders in order of their current Gold Derby odds.