In our new Emmy predictions slugfest, Gold Derby Editors agree that no matter what production wins Best Miniseries, FX is likely to have a very good year. Why? Because the two frontrunners to claim the top prize are both on the cable network: “Fargo” with 18 total nominations and “American Horror Story: Coven” with 17 overall nods.
The reason all three of us are betting on “Fargo” to win the Emmy is because it received far higher industry acclaim and appreciation than “Coven” did. “Fargo” was a high-caliber, slow-burning novel of sorts, while “Coven” relished in its over-the-top campiness. But we warn you to watch out for those witches, as for the first time in “AHS” history the show managed to reap nominations for Best Writing and Best Directing. That’s usually key to any production’s success in the top category.
As for the other four nominees — “Treme,” “The White Queen,” “Luther” and “Bonnie and Clyde” — we give the edge to “Treme” because it comes from powerhouse HBO. But that doesn’t mean the others are out of luck. We’ve seen many surprises in the Movie/Miniseries races over the years, including Barry Pepper (“The Kennedys“) in 2011 and Laura Linney (“The Big C Hereafter“) last year, so it’s never a good idea to count out the underdog.
Gold Derby’s official combined racetrack odds currently find “Fargo” in first place with 1/10 odds, followed by “Coven” in second place with 20/1 odds, and then there’s a three-way tie for third place with 50/1 odds each going to “Luther,” “The White Queen” and “Treme.” In last place with 100/1 odds is “Bonnie and Clyde.”
See all of our Editors’ predictions ranked per category here. Compare them to forecasts by the Emmy Experts here and by our Top 24 Users here. See the rankings and racetrack odds generated when all predictions are combined.
Do you agree with our Editors’ predictions for Best Miniseries? Make your own predictions below the video and then sound off in the comments section or join the discussion in our Emmys forum. See the full list of Emmy episode submissions here.