In our new Emmy prediction slugfest, Gold Derby Editors call the easy win for “The Normal Heart” in the Best TV Movie race, which earned more nominations (16) than any other made-for-TV-movie this year. But not so fast: We also make the case for “Sherlock: His Last Vow,” which earned a hefty 12 nominations in its third year of eligibility. Could the British import sleuth its way to a surprise Emmy upset?
Suffice it say, we all agree that this race was pretty much over the day HBO signed Ryan Murphy to direct the TV adaptation of this Tony-winning Broadway play. As for the other play-to-TV adaptation in the race — “The Trip to Bountiful” — we agree that leading lady Cicely Tyson could win the laurels for Best Actress, but that is “Bountiful’s” chief hope for Emmy glory.
We also talk at length about “Sherlock’s” strange inclusion in the TV Movie race despite the fact that it produces six hours of material every year, the minimum required to be a Drama Series. The fact that only the final movie “His Last Vow” was submitted to the Emmys means voters may be confused about what’s going on, as the story depends heavily on things learned earlier in the season. Is “Sherlock” doing itself a disservice by not submitting in Drama Series or, at the very least, as a Miniseries?
As for the other two movies “Killing Kennedy” and “Muhammad Alis Greatest Fight,” we all agree that they might have had better luck in a year without such a prestigious HBO telefilm like “The Normal Heart” in the running. For these two, the nominations are the wins.
Gold Derby’s official combined racetrack odds currently find “The Normal Heart” in first place to win with 1/10 odds, followed by “Sherlock” and “The Trip to Bountiful” tied for second place with 33/1 odds each, “Killing Kennedy” in fourth place with 50/1 odds and “Muhammad Ali” in last place with 100/1 odds.
See all of our Editors’ predictions ranked per category here. Compare them to forecasts by the Emmy Experts here and by our Top 24 Users here. See the rankings and racetrack odds generated when all predictions are combined.
Do you agree with our Editors’ predictions for Best TV Movie? Make your own predictions below the video and then sound off in the comments section or join the discussion in our Emmys forum. See the full list of Emmy episode submissions here.