When it comes to predicting Emmys, we might have a thing or two to learn from our Top 24 Users who reaped the best scores among all of our site readers last year. Out of those two dozen pundits, 19 scored better than any of our vaunted Experts and Editors, while the other five tied our very best Experts. And we all remember how many surprises there were in 2013. (Click here for our Top 24’s current Emmy predictions.)
Consider Philip T. In 2013, he tied two other users as Gold Derby’s best Emmy predictor with 57% accuracy. He was one of the few to foresee the upset wins by Laura Linney (Movie/Mini Actress, “The Big C: Hereafter“), Ellen Burstyn (Movie/Mini Supporting Actress, “Political Animals“), and “Modern Family” for Best Comedy Directing. This year, he’s going out on a limb for Josh Charles (“The Good Wife“) for Drama Supporting Actor and “True Detective” for Best Drama Series, among others. Click here to see his predictions.
Gwendolynthemovie also scored 57% correct, including the upset wins for Tony Hale (Comedy Supporting Actor, “Veep“) and Dan Bucatinsky (Drama Guest Actor, “Scandal“). This year, she’s going against the majority by picking Joanne Froggatt (“Downton Abbey“) for Drama Supporting Actress and “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” for Variety Series. Click here to see her predictions.
Overall, the Top 24 currently agree with the consensus in most categories, but we should watch out for a few races where they break from the pack.
Allison Tolman (“Fargo“) is the frontrunner for Movie/Mini Supporting Actress on the strength of our Experts’ predictions, but in this case they’re the ones going against the grain. The Top 24 users think it will be Julia Roberts (“The Normal Heart“), and Editors and all Users agree with them.
The same is true of Best Reality Host, where Experts are picking first-time nominee Jane Lynch for “Hollywood Game Night.” Our Top 24, however, are forecasting a repeat win for Heidi Klum and Tim Gunn for “Project Runway,” and our Editors and all Users agree with them there too.
None of our Experts think Jesse Tyler Ferguson will win Comedy Supporting Actor for “Modern Family,” but 10 of our Top 24 do – one more than are predicting frontrunner Andre Braugher (“Brooklyn Nine-Nine“).
Are our Top 24 on to something? Should we heed their warnings more than we did last year? Start making your own predictions below: