Who are Top 10 Emmy contenders for Best Drama Supporting Actor: Aaron Paul, Peter Dinklage …?

The Emmy for Best Drama Supporting Actor is notoriously fickle: Aaron Paul (“Breaking Bad“), who won in 2010 and 2012, was the first actor to repeat in the category since Ray Walston won back-to-back prizes for “Picket Fences” in 1995 and 1996. Is that bad news for Paul and another past champ, “Game of Thrones” star Peter Dinklage (2011)?

Will Aaron Paul achieve historic three-peat?
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After reading our overview, be sure to check out the photo gallery at the bottom of this post, which previews the top contenders and gets you ready to make your own Emmy predictions before nominations are announced on July 10.

FRONTRUNNERS
Despite the category’s historical bias against repeat winners, Paul is our favorite to win, getting 2/1 odds based on the combined predictions of our Experts, Editors, and Users. He would be the first ever three-peat in this category. (Click here for our complete racetrack odds.)

 Dinklage follows close behind with 10/3 odds, likely bolstered by a strong storyline in which he was tried for the murder of his nephew, King Joffrey (Jack Gleeson).

PROBABLE NOMINEES
The Emmys often love movie stars who make the move to TV (Glenn Close, Al Pacino, etc.), which is good news for Jon Voight; though “Ray Donovan” isn’t expected to receive bids in most major categories, Voight gets 8/1 odds for his featured role as the show’s sinister patriarch.

Over the first four seasons of “The Good Wife,” Josh Charles earned just one bid in 2011, but the increased notoriety due to his shocking exit from the series has bolstered his chances this year. He gets 10/1 odds.

Speaking of shocking exits, Dean Norris was killed off in dramatic fashion in the final episodes of “Breaking Bad,” and like his former co-stars Giancarlo Esposito and Jonathan Banks, Norris is likely to follow his on-screen demise with an Emmy bid. He also gets 10/1 odds.

After being snubbed in 2012 for “Homeland‘s” debut season, Mandy Patinkin made the cut last year. But will he be welcomed back after the divisive third season? He gets 12/1 odds.

SPOILERS
Boardwalk Empire‘s” Bobby Cannavale pulled off one of last year’s biggest surprises by winning this category for his one-season arc as unhinged mobster Gyp Rosetti. This year, “Angels in America” Emmy champ Jeffrey Wright hopes for the same success after joining the cast as Valentin Narcisse. But he gets 100/1 odds based on our predictions. 

Also saddled with dismal odds is Jim Carter (“Downton Abbey“). The character actor has earned two consecutive bids as dutiful Mr. Carson, but sits at 100/1. Are we underestimating him again?

Noah Emmerich (“The Americans“) is hoping for a second chance at Emmy after the TV academy snubbed him and most of his co-stars in 2013. And John Slattery, a four-time nominee for “Mad Men,” is hoping to return to the race for the first time since 2011. But like Wright and Carter, they both have odds of just 100/1.

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Below, take a photo tour through this year’s top 10 contenders for Best Drama Supporting Actor.

And be sure to use the easy drag-and-drop menu below to make your predictions in this race.

2 thoughts on “Who are Top 10 Emmy contenders for Best Drama Supporting Actor: Aaron Paul, Peter Dinklage …?

  1. John Slattery had a couple of good episodes this season, it seems like he could make a comeback. I think his previous snubs were due to having a low level of material in previous seasons. He just didn’t have anything to do until this season when his daughter went off the rails and joined a cult. I think the finale is also a great episode for him with losing a father figure in Bert. I wanted to give poor, sad Roger a hug when I saw the finale. Jeffrey Wright seems like a good choice, they do seem to love a good Boardwalk Empire villain. This is always such a hard category to figure out every year. It seems to be the one I have the worst luck with. I usually only get three or four correct. So now that I’ve said Slattery and Wright could be in, that means you can probably take it for a fact they won’t get in, lol.

  2. Here is something interesting: Since 1986, at least one show has received at least two nominations in this category EVERY year except: 1986, 1996, 2006. Since it isn’t 2016, let’s see if this trend continues. Here’s to hoping Aaron Paul/Dean Norris for Breaking Bad both get nominated!

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