What are Top 10 Emmy contenders for Best TV Movie: ‘Normal Heart,’ ‘Sherlock’ …?

After three years of a combined Emmy category for Best Movie/Miniseries, a surge in longform programming led the TV academy to split them again for 2014. Before the awards were consolidatedin 2011, HBO had won a whopping nine of the last 10 prizes for Best TV Movie. Will the paycaster resume its winning streak?

Will ‘The Normal Heart’ sweep Emmys like ‘Angels in America’ did?

After reading our overview, be sure to check out the photo gallery at the bottom of this post, which previews the top contenders and gets you ready to make your own Emmy predictions before nominations are announced on July 10.

FRONTRUNNERS
HBO looks like it has another winner if our predictions hold true. “The Normal Heart,” based on Larry Kramer‘s impassioned play about the AIDS crisis, is the overwhelming favorite to win with 15/8 odds. (Click here for our complete odds.)

Lifetime, which has never won this race, boasts a pair of strong contenders: “The Trip to Bountiful,” the telefilm version of last year’s rialto revival of the Horton Foote play with Cicely Tyson reprising her Tony-winning performance, gets 9/2 odds while “Return to Zero,” a true story starring Minnie Driver as a grieving mother, is right behind with odds of 11/2. 

PROBABLE NOMINEES
“Sherlock” earned four nominations in 2011 for “A Study in Pink,” including Best Movie/Mini Writing. The next year, that shot up to 13 bids for “A Scandal in Belgravia,” including Best Movie/Miniseries. It was shut out both times, but this year we expect it to get another chance with “His Last Vow,” giving it 15/2 odds for Best TV Movie.

Killing Kennedy,” based on the book by Bill O’Reilly and Martin Dugard, aired on the National Geographic Channel and stars Rob Lowe as President John F. Kennedy. It gets 8/1 odds.

SPOILERS
BBC America’s celebrity romance “Burton and Taylor” was better received than the similarly themed “Liz & Dick” starring Lindsay Lohan and it recently earned a Critics’ Choice nomination for Best Movie/Miniseries. It gets 33/1 odds to win.

Larry David is a longtime TV academy favorite, with 24 Emmy nominations and two wins, so it’s possible his HBO comedy “Clear History” might also score with voters. It gets 50/1 odds.

HBO also has “Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight,” about the famous boxer’s refusal to fight in the Vietnam War. Despite an impressive pedigree (director Stephen Frears, actors Christopher Plummer and Frank Langella), it’s a 100/1 underdog.

And two more Lifetime entries are vying for the academy’s attention: “A Day Late and a Dollar Short” starring Whoopi Goldberg, and “Flowers in the Attic” with Ellen Burstyn. They also get 100/1 odds.

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Below, take a photo tour through this year’s top 10 contenders for Best TV Movie.

And be sure to use the easy drag-and-drop menu below to make your predictions in this race.

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