Will Frances McDormand win that elusive Golden Globe for ‘Olive Kitteridge’?

According to our predictions, Frances McDormand will win Best TV Movie/Limited Series Actress at the Golden Globes for the HBO miniseries “Olive Kitteridge.” It would be a first for the actress. Sure, she won a special ensemble award for “Short Cuts” in 1993, but she shared that with dozens of co-stars. She has yet to be honored individually.

Richard Jenkins on ‘connecting’ with Frances McDormand in ‘Olive Kitteridge’ [Video]

McDormand made history at the Globes with one particular loss. She was nominated for Best Film Musical/Comedy Actress for “Fargo” in 1996; she lost to Madonna (“Evita”) but went on to win the Oscar anyway, making her the only woman to lose that Globes category, then win Oscar. (Click here to read more about the history of Musical/Comedy Actress at the Globes.)

McDormand also earned Globe nods for “Almost Famous” (Film Supporting Actress, 2000), “North Country” (Film Supporting Actress, 2005), and “Burn After Reading” (Film Musical/Comedy Actress, 2008). If she contends for “Olive Kitteridge,” it would be her first nomination for a TV role.

Do you agree that McDormand is the frontrunner? Click here to make your predictions in all Golden Globe TV races, or use our drag-and-drop menu at the bottom of this post to get started. Your predictions determine our racetrack odds, and if you’re among our best predictors, you’ll be included next year among our Top 24 Users, who have even greater influence over our odds. Click here to see who our top users are currently predicting for Globes.

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Because the eligibility year for the Globes (January to December) is different from the Emmys (June to May), it’s difficult to draw direct parallels between the two events for TV movies and limited series. “Olive Kitteridge” aired in November, so McDormand won’t be eligible for Emmys until next year, but at the Globes she may compete against women who already nominated at the 2014 Emmys, including Cicely Tyson (“The Trip to Bountiful“), Minnie Driver (“Return to Zero“), and Kristen Wiig (“The Spoils of Babylon“).

The 2014 Emmy champ for Best Movie/Miniseries Actress, Jessica Lange could be a nominated again at the Globes for “American Horror Story,” but while she won the Emmy for “Coven,” she’ll be considered at the Globes for this fall’s “Freak Show” cycle. So will Lange’s Emmy-nominated co-star Sarah Paulson.

McDormand gets 15/8 odds based on the combined predictions of our experts, editors, and users. Lange ranks second with 10/3 odds, while Tyson is third with 5/1 odds. In fourth place is another actress who will compete in the next Emmy cycle, Maggie Gyllenhaal, who gets 9/1 odds for “The Honourable Woman.” Paulson rounds out the top five with 14/1 odds.

Do you agree with our odds? Use the drag-and-drop menu below to get started predicting the Golden Globes.

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