Tom O’Neil scores best Golden Globe predictions among Experts

Gold Derby editor Tom O’Neil reaped the highest score (79%) among the 25 Experts predicting the film races at the Golden Globes.  Next up in second place with 72% were Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter) and Dave Karger (Fandango).

See our score leaderboards here. See the Experts’ predix here.

Eight people tied for third place with 65% accuracy: Thelma Adams (thelmaadams.com), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Michael Musto (Village Voice), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood), and Peter Travers (Rolling Stone).

Finishing next were the following five people at 58%: Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Guy Lodge (HitFix), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times), and Susan Wloszczyna (Roger Ebert) The next group was at 50% correct: Edward Douglas (Coming Soon), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo Movies), Claudia Puig (USA Today), and Jeffrey Wells (Hollywood Elsewhere). The final two slots with 43% are Tim Hayne (MovieFone) and Sasha Stone (Awards Daily).

Collectively, the 25 Experts correctly forecasted 50% of the 14 film races. Key categories they got wrong: Best Drama Actor (they bet on Chiwetel Ejiofor instead of Matthew McConaughey) and Supporting Actress (opting for Lupita Nyongo over Jennifer Lawrence).

Only Guy Lodge foresaw the upset by “All Is Lost” for Best Musical Score. Only three sages correctly picked “Her” for Best Screenplay: Tim Hayne, Michael Hotan and Claudia Puig.

TV CATEGORIES

Tom O’Neil also led the pack picking the Globe TV categories, scoring 55% correct. Next up is Tariq Khan (Fox News) at 46%.

See the TV score leaderboard here. See the pundits’ predix here.

The next seven finished at 37%: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times), and Susan Wloszczyna (Roger Ebert). Dave Karger (Fandango) is in the final slot at 19%.

None of the pundits picked longshot Robin Wright (“House of Cards”) to triumph as Best Drama Actress and, in fact, most of them ranked her in the fourth or fifth slot.

O’Neil was alone in forecasting the victories by Amy Poehler and Andy Samberg. O’Neil and Khan both picked “Brooklyn 99” to win Best Comedy Series.

Only Feinberg chose Elisabeth Moss to bag Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie. Only Sheehan and Khan nailed the upset for Best Supporting Actress by Jacqueline Bisset.

Four gurus correctly picked Jon Voight to win Best Supporting Actor: Feinberg, Khan, O’Neil and Whipp.

 

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