Are Golden Globe champs for Musical/Comedy Actress doomed to be Oscar also-rans?

The Golden Globes have given separate awards for dramas and musicals/comedies since the 1950s, and dramas have a much stronger track record when it comes to repeating at the Oscars. But while Best Musical/Comedy Actress winners certainly have better luck with the academy than their funnyman counterparts, they still trail dramatic women by a wide margin. Are actresses in musicals and comedies doomed to be Oscar also-rans?

 

Golden Globe winners for Best Film Drama Actress have 50/50 chance at Oscar

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In the past 64 years, only 15 out of 66 Globe winners for Best Musical/Comedy Actress have gone on to claim the Best Actress Oscar. That’s far better than the men: only eight Musical/Comedy Actor champs have ever won Oscar – and that’s counting one Globe champ who was demoted to the supporting race by the academy (George Burns in “The Sunshine Boys”).

Why do funnyman winners at Golden Globes seldom repeat at Oscars?

But while women in musicals and comedies fare better with the academy than men in those films, they still fall far behind dramatic leading ladies. 32 out of 66 Globe winners for Best Drama Actress have gone on to win the Best Actress Oscar, while another 16 Oscar champs were nominated for the Drama Actress Globe, but lost. That adds up to a whopping 48 academy favorites from dramas.

And if you’re a Musical/Comedy Actress nominee at the Globes, you’d better win, because only one woman has ever won the Best Actress Oscar after losing that race: Frances McDormand (“Fargo”) lost the Globe to Madonna (“Evita”), but got the last laugh by winning at the Oscars, where Madonna wasn’t even nominated.

But Madonna isn’t alone. She’s one of 22 women who won Best Musical/Comedy Actress only to be snubbed completely by the academy. The most recent victim of this trend was critics’ darling Sally Hawkins in “Happy-Go-Lucky.”

In the past decade, just three Musical/Comedy Actress champs went on to claim Oscar: Reese Witherspoon (“Walk the Line,” 2005), Marion Cotillard (“La Vie en Rose,” 2007), and Jennifer Lawrence (“Silver Linings Playbook,” 2012). And in that time only 13 out of the 50 Globe nominees in the category reaped Oscar bids.

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Can any of this year’s contenders reverse the curse?

The defending champ in the category, Amy Adams, could return with “Big Eyes” after prevailing for “American Hustle” last year She has been nominated five times to date.

Emily Blunt (“Into the Woods“) has never been nominated by the academy, but she’s loved by the Golden Globes, earning four nominations, including a win for her TV role in “Gideon’s Daughter.”

Two-time Globe-winner Julianne Moore has two more chances to win this year. She could prevail for her dramatic role in “Still Alice,” and she could do the same in this race as a vain actress in want of a comeback in “Maps to the Stars.”

Globe-darling Angelina Jolie (“Maleficent“) has three wins out of six previous nominations, and like Moore she could also be a multiple-nominee this year: she also directed the World War II-set drama “Unbroken.”

Helen Mirren (“The Hundred-Foot Journey“) also has three wins, but she’s been nominated 12 times. Her most recent victories came in 2006, when she won for both her TV role as Queen Elizabeth I (HBO’s “Elizabeth I”) and her film role as Queen Elizabeth II (“The Queen”).

Two-time Globe-nominee Keira Knightley could be recognized in this race for the contemporary musical “Begin Again” and in the supporting category for “The Imitation Game.”

Kristen Wiig (“The Skeleton Twins“), Greta Gerwig (“The Humbling“), and Emma Stone (“Magic in the Moonlight“) have one previous nomination apiece, while Quvenzhane Wallis (“Annie“), Jenny Slate (“Obvious Child“), and Rosario Dawson (“Top Five“) could be nominated for the first time.

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