Will Sam Smith be first male artist to win Grammy for Best Solo Pop Vocal?

The entertainment business is usually a man’s world, but there’s at least one corner of the industry that women have ruled: the Grammy for Best Solo Pop Vocal. Created in 2011 to combine the previous Male Pop Vocal and Female Pop Vocal categories, the award has gone to a woman every year. In fact, men represent only six of the 20 total nominees since the award was established. Could newcomer Sam Smith be the first man to prevail?

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Smith is nominated for the first time in the category and has six nominations overall. He competes for the song “Stay with Me,” which might have an advantage in the race since it’s also nominated for Record of the Year and Song of the Year, which indicates strong support from the recording academy; last year, Lorde‘s “Royals” won this award after also earning nominations in those two general-field races.

But Smith is not alone in that regard. He faces Sia‘s “Chandelier” for Record, Song, and Solo Pop Vocal. This is Sia’s first nomination in the category as well, despite her being a relative veteran in the music business.

Taylor Swift is also nominated in those three categories for “Shake it Off.” She was previously nominated for Female Pop Vocal for “You Belong with Me,” but the erstwhile country star has yet to win in the pop field.

The remaining nominees are up for live performances: John Legend for “All of Me” and Pharrell Williams for “Happy.” Legend has two previous nods for Male Pop Vocal, and Williams won Pop Duo/Group last year with Daft Punk for “Get Lucky.” Adele won this category in 2012 for a live recording of “Set Fire to the Rain.”

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Who do you think will win? Click here to visit our predictions center and enter your picks for Grammys, Oscars, Golden Globes, and reality TV. More Grammy categories will be available to predict in coming days.

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