Matt Bomer (“The Normal Heart“) lost Best Movie/Mini Supporting Actor in one of the most shocking upsets of the last Emmys, but the good news for the actor is that he may get another chance at the Golden Globes. In fact, according to our racetrack odds, he’s the frontrunner to win Best TV Supporting Actor.
Bomer was considered a virtual lock at the Emmys for playing dying journalist Felix Turner in Ryan Murphy‘s telefilm about the early days of the AIDS crisis in New York City, especially after winning a Critics’ Choice Award earlier in the season, but when Emmys were handed out in August, “The Normal Heart” suffered loss after loss. It still managed to win Best TV Movie, but its only other victory out of 16 nominations was for Best Non-Prosthetic Makeup.
Bomer and three of his co-stars (Joe Mantello, Alfred Molina, and Jim Parsons) lost their category to Martin Freeman for “Sherlock: His Last Vow,” which also upset “The Normal Heart” for Best Movie/Mini Actor and Best Movie/Mini Writing.
But despite his poor Emmy fortunes, Bomer leads our Golden Globe predictions with 23/10 odds. He’ll face a tough challenge from Bill Murray (“Olive Kitteridge“), who won’t compete at the Emmys until 2015, but ranks second in the Globes contest with 14/5 odds. Following them are Freeman (11/2 odds), last year’s winner Jon Voight for “Ray Donovan” (8/1 odds), and 2011 champ Peter Dinklage for “Game of Thrones” (12/1 odds).
The TV supporting categories at the Globes are notoriously challenging to predict because they combine dramas, comedies, movies, and miniseries, which is not just like comparing apples to oranges – it’s like comparing apples, oranges, and penguins.
But clear trends have emerged over the years. For instance, even in their TV categories the Globes tend to favor veteran movie stars, like Voight and other recent winners Paul Newman (“Empire Falls,” 2005), Jeremy Irons (“Elizabeth I,” 2006), and Ed Harris (“Game Change,” 2012). That tradition favors Murray to win this race.
But sometimes the Globes can’t resist a cool breakout star giving a flashy performance, like Dinklage and fellow champs Jeremy Piven (“Entourage,” 2007) and Chris Colfer (“Glee,” 2010). That could be good news for Bomer.
What do you think? Will Bomer make a kudos comeback at the Globes, or will he be snubbed again. Use our drag-and-drop menu below to predict Best TV Supporting Actor, or click here to make your predictions in that race and all other Golden Globe TV categories. Hurry and enter your picks before nominations are announced on Thursday, December 11.