The McConaissance hit a bump in the road in August. After accepting countless awards for “Dallas Buyers Club” and “True Detective,” Matthew McConaughey reached the Emmys and encountered the one obstacle he couldn’t surmount: the indomitable last season of “Breaking Bad,” whose star, Bryan Cranston, beat McConaughey for Best Drama Actor. But now that “Breaking Bad” has completed its victory lap, McConaughey could resume his awards romp at this year’s Golden Globes and SAG Awards; he’s the frontrunner to win at both events according to our racetrack odds.
Though HBO entered “True Detective” as a drama series at the Emmys, the Golden Globes revised their eligibility rules to officially classify “True Detective” and other anthology programs as “limited series.” That means McConaughey will compete for Best TV Movie/Limited Series Actor against some of the men who were up for Emmys in the movie/miniseries category this year, including surprise Emmy champ Benedict Cumberbatch (“Sherlock”), Mark Ruffalo (“The Normal Heart“), and “Fargo” co-stars Billy Bob Thornton and Martin Freeman. McConaughey may also come up against his “True Detective” co-star Woody Harrelson, whom he also faced for Best Drama Actor at the Emmys.
McConaughey leads the Globes race with 9/5 odds, followed by Cumberbatch with 10/3 odds. They’re followed by Thornton (11/2 odds), Ruffalo (6/1 odds), and Freeman (14/1 odds), while Harrelson is on the bubble for a nomination with 25/1 odds.
But at the SAG Awards, “True Detective” will compete as a drama series, so McConaughey’s competitors may more closely resemble his Emmy rivals, including villainous “House of Cards” politico Kevin Spacey, whom our predictors rank just behind McConaughey with 27/10 odds.
Though “Game of Thrones” standout Peter Dinklage competes as a supporting actor at the Emmys, the SAG Awards combine lead and supporting TV actors; he’s tipped to return after breaking through in the category last year, ranking third with 6/1 odds. Harrelson is fourth (8/1 odds), and Clive Owen is in fifth position (20/1 odds) for the freshman drama “The Knick,” which means our predictors are expecting last year’s nominees Steve Buscemi (“Boardwalk Empire“) and Jeff Daniels (“The Newsroom“) to be dropped from the race.
Do you think McConaughey will win at both the SAG Awards and the Golden Globes for TV’s “True Detective” a year after winning those prizes for “Dallas Buyers Club” on the big screen? Click here to visit our predictions center and make your predictions for both events, or use our drag-and-drop menu at the bottom of this post to get started. Your predictions determine our racetrack odds, and if you’re among our best predictors, you’ll be included next year among our Top 24 Users, who have even greater influence over our odds.