Oscars experts: Eddie Redmayne closes Michael Keaton’s lead, ‘Selma’ in second for Best Picture

Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything“) continues to narrow the lead long held by Michael Keaton (“Birdman“) in the Best Actor race. Now backed by 10 of our 26 Oscarologists, he has odds of 13 to 5 to win Best Actor for his portrayal of wheelchair bound scientist Stephen Hawking. Keaton, with the support of 14 Experts, has odds of 9 to 4 to prevail on Oscar night for his performance as an actor on the comeback trail. 

Benedict Cumberbatch is ranked first by two of our Experts for his work in the WWII spy drama “The Imitation Game.” That support from Thelma Adams (Thelmadams.com) and Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) gives him odds of 11/2. 

The 14 Experts in Keaton’s corner are: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Thom GeierTariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), Mary Milliken (Reuters), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Jenelle Riley (Variety), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire),  Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

The 10 Experts touting Redmayne are: Mike Cidoni (AP),  Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times) and me. 

In the Best Picture race, “Boyhood” (odds of 4/1) remains far out front with the support of 18 of our 26 pundits.”Selma” has jumped to second based on the backing of four Oscarologists and shares odds of 15/2 with “Birdman,” which has one booster. The Imitation Game” has one vote and odds of 8/1 while  “Unbroken” has two votes and odds of 9/1. (These odds are determined by the rankings of our Experts of each film on their list of top 10. For example, “Selma” has the first place votes of four Experts while “Birdman” has just one but among the rest of the Experts, “Birdman” is ranked higher than “Selma” often enough to equalize the odds.) 

Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all top categories according to likelihood of winning. And click on each underlined category below to see the individual Experts predictions for that race. Then make your own predictions here. Be the best and win bragging rights AND $1,000. 

See latest Oscar rankings when the Experts’ predictions are combined

Our 26 Experts are predicting “Boyhood” to win five Academy Awards in all:  Best Picture, Best Director (Richard Linklater), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), Original Screenplay and Editing. 

Interstellar” is expected to take home four Oscars: Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. 

Into the Woods” also is predicted to prevail in three categories (Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Production Design).

Birdman” will claim two Academy Awards — Best Actor (Michael Keaton), Cinematography.

Still Alice” is predicted to win Best Actress for four-time Oscar bridesmaid Julianne Moore while Whiplash” should net an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor J.K. Simmons, and “The Imitation Game” is forecast to win Adapted Screenplay. 

Click here to see how they rank contenders in top Oscar races. Click here to see the rankings and odds generated by combining the experts’ predictions.

Below: The experts’ latest collective rankings and odds for the top six categories (click on each category to see more detailed results). 

Best Picture
1.  “Boyhood” – 4/1
2.  “Selma” – 15/2
3.  “Birdman” – 15/2
4.  “The Imitation Game” – 8/1
5.  “Unbroken” – 9/1
6.  “The Theory of Everything” – 10/1
7.  “Foxcatcher” – 20/1
8.  “Gone Girl”– 20/1
9.  “Whiplash” – 20/1
10. “Interstellar” – 33/1

Change from last week: “Selma” moves up into a tie with “Birdman.” 

Best Director
1. Richard Linklater, “Boyhood” – 9/4
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman” – 10/3
3. Ava DuVernay, “Selma”– 11/2
4. Angelina Jolie, “Unbroken” – 10/1
5. David Fincher, “Gone Girl” – 16/1

Change from last week: Ava DuVernay (“Selma”) has strengthened her position while Angelina Jolie (“Unbroken”) and David Fincher (“Gone Girl”) sees their odds lengthen. 

Best Actor
1. Michael Keaton, “Birdman” – 9/4
2. Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything” – 13/5
3. Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game” – 11/2
4. David Oyelowo, “Selma” – 13/2
5. Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher” – 12/1

Change from last week: The standings remain the same but Eddie Redmayne (“The Theory of Everything”) has improved his odds. 

Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore, “Still Alice” – 17/10
2. Reese Witherspoon, “Wild” – 10/3
3. Rosamund PIke, “Gone Girl” – 13/2
4. Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything” – 15/2
5. Hilary Swank, “The Homesman”  – 20/1

Change from last week: Amy Adams (“Big Eyes”) lost her slot to Hilary Swank (“The Homesman”).  

Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash” – 13/8
2. Edward Norton, “Birdman” – 10/3
3. Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood” – 6/1
4. Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher” – 6/1
5.Tom Wilkinson (“Selma”) – 25/1

Change from last week: The standings and odds remain the same. 

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood” – 9/5
2.  Laura Dern, “Wild” – 11/2 
3. Emma Stone, “Birdman” – 6/1
4. Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game” – 15/2
5. Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods” – 15/2

Change from last week: Emma Stone (“Birdman) and Laura Dern (“Wild) swap places while Keira Knightley (“The Imitation Game”) gets slightly longer odds. 

What are your Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Picture champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Golden Globes, Grammys, “Survivor,” “The Voice,” and more.

More News from GoldDerby

Loading