Predict Best Editing Oscar: Will it continue to line up with Best Picture?

Best Editing is known for its close correlation with Best Picture. Since 1981, every Best Picture winner has at least been nominated in this category. And of those 33 races, 16 editing champs went on to win the top prize.

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Because editing is a non-visual art, it is not as easy to identify trends among winners. Action-heavy and suspense-driven films often prevail, including “Gravity,” “Argo,” “The Hurt Locker,” “The Bourne Ultimatum,” “Black Hawk Down,” and “The Matrix.”

Lavish epics also frequently win, like “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” and “The Aviator.”

“Traffic” and “Crash” won in large part for juggling multiple characters and storylines, while “Slumdog Millionaire” and “The Social Network” featured complex flashback structures.

Three of the last four winners in this category have projects in contention. William Goldenberg, who won for “Argo” in 2012, edited the biopic “The Imitation Game.”

Kirk Baxter won consecutive awards in 2010 and 2011 for David Fincher‘s “The Social Network” and “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo.” He’s back this year with Fincher’s latest, the mystery “Gone Girl.”

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Action-packed projects that could compete in this race include the war films “Unbroken” (two-time Oscar-nominee Tim Squyres) and “Fury” (past nominee Dody Dorn), as well as the sci-fi drama “Interstellar” (two-time nominee Lee Smith).

Given the category’s strong correlation with Best Picture, we also mustn’t underestimate “Boyhood” (Sandra Adair), “Birdman” (past nominee Douglas Crise), and “Foxcatcher” (Stuart Levy and Conor O’Neill).

Who do you think is ahead to win this race? Use our drag-and-drop menu below to make your predictions.

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