Oscar experts: ‘Boyhood’ will win 5, ‘Interstellar’ 4, ‘Birdman’ 2

At this time last year, just two of the eventual nine Best Picture nominees hadn’t screened (“American Hustlle,” “The Wolf of Wall Street”). This year, our 24 Experts have yet to see a slew of contenders including “American Sniper,” “Big Eyes,” “Into the Woods,” “Selma” and “Unbroken.” 

Boyhoodremains in the lead for Best Picture with our Oscarologists, as it has all awards season long. Our two dozen experts are predicting it to win five Academy Awards in all, including Best Director (Richard Linklater), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), Original Screenplay and Editing. 

Interstellar” is expected to take home four Oscars: Score, Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. 

Birdman” will claim two Academy Awards — Best Actor (Michael Keaton), Cinematography — as will “Into the Woods” (Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling).

Still Alice” is predicted to win Best Actress for four-time Oscar bridesmaid Julianne Moore while Whiplash” should net an Oscar for Supporting Actor J.K. Simmons.

Unbroken” is forecast to win Adapted Screenplay and “The Grand Budapest Hotel” will claim Production Design.

Boyhood” (odds of 9/2) remains out front with the backing of half of our 24 pundits: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Michael Musto (Out.com), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times), Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com).

“Unbroken” (odds of 6/1) is in second place with seven Oscarologists picking it to prevail: Edward Douglas (Comingsoon), Thom Geier (Entertainment Weekly), Dave Karger (Fandango), Tariq Khan (Fox News), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood), and Tom O’Neil and Paul Sheehan (Gold Derby).

The Imitation Game” (odds of 15/2) has three boosters: Thelma Adams (Thelmadams.com), Jenelle Riley (Variety) and Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) while “Birdman” has the support of one expert (Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere) and odds of 15/2 as well. And “Gone Girl” gets the vote of Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair) and odds of 14/1.  

Click here to see how they rank contenders in top Oscar races. Click here to see the rankings and odds generated by combining the experts’ predictions.

Below: The experts’ latest collective rankings and odds for the top six categories (click on each category to see more detailed results). 

Best Picture
1.  “Boyhood” – 9/2
2.  “Unbroken” – 6/1
3.  “Birdman” – 15/2
4.  “The Imitation Game” – 15/2
5.  “The Theory of Everything” – 12/1
6.  “Gone Girl” – 14/1
7.  “Interstellar” – 14/1
8.  “Foxcatcher” – 16/1
9.  “Whiplash” – 25/1
10. “The Grand Budapest Hotel” – 33/1

Change from last week: With the support of our newest pundit — Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood) — “Unbroken bettered its odds to 6/1 from 13/2. And while “Whiplash” is still in ninth place, its odds have improved to 25/1 (versus 33/1). 

Best Actor
1. Michael Keaton, “Birdman” – 2/1
2. Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything” – 27/10
3. Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game” – 11/2
4. Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher” – 15/2
5. Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper”/Timothy Spall, “Mr. Turner” – 33/1

Change from last week: Timothy Spall (“Mr. Turner”) rallied back into the top five, tying Bradley Cooper (“American Sniper”) for the final slot.

Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore, “Still Alice” – 9/4
2. Reese Witherspoon, “Wild” – 7/2
3. Rosamund PIke, “Gone Girl” – 6/1
4. Amy Adams, “Big Eyes” 13/2 
5. Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything” – 15/2

Change from last week: Rosamund Pike (“Gone Girl”) and Amy Adams (“Big Eyes”) have flipped positions. 

Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash” – 13/8
2. Edward Norton, “Birdman” – 3/1
3. Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher” – 11/2
4. Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood” – 6/1
5. Josh Brolin, “Inherent Vice”/Robert Duvall, “The Judge” – 50/1

Change from last week: Josh Brolin (“Inherent Vice”) cracks the top five for the first time. 

There have been no changes in the rankings in the other two races, although there were slight fluctuations in the racetrack odds.

Best Director
1. Richard Linklater, “Boyhood” – 21/10
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman” – 10/3
3. Angelina Jolie, “Unbroken” – 11/2
4. Christopher Nolan, “Interstellar” – 14/1
5. Bennett Miller, “Foxcatcher” – 14/1

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood” – 17/10
2. Laura Dern, “Wild” – 11/2
3. Emma Stone, “Birdman” – 11/2
4. Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game” – 13/2
5. Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods” – 12/1

What are your early Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Picture champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Golden Globes, Grammys, “Survivor,” “The Voice,” “Dancing with the Stars” and more.

2 thoughts on “Oscar experts: ‘Boyhood’ will win 5, ‘Interstellar’ 4, ‘Birdman’ 2

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

More News from GoldDerby

Loading