News Nuggets: Will it be Jennifer Lawrence or Lupita Nyong’o winning the Oscar?

Michael Hogan and Christopher Rosen backtrack somewhat on their recent comments that this Oscar season is “boring,” especially regarding the race for Best Supporting Actress. They believe it is a dead-heat between Jennifer Lawrence (“American Hustle“) and Lupita Nyong’o (“12 Years a Slave”). Lawrence now has the BAFTA “upset” and the Golden Globe. Nyong’o won the SAG and Critic’s Choice. With Lawrence “basically gone into hiding” in recent weeks, her anti-campaign might be helping her more than expected. Vanity Fair.

Sasha Stone asks if there has “ever been a year like this one where one movie keeps winning Best Picture but not Best Director.” That certainly seems to be the case with “12 Years a Slave” and Alfonso Cuaron for “Gravity.” Looking at the Oscars relating back to the Golden Globes and the Directors Guild, she discusses “In the Heat of the Night” vs. “The Graduate” (1967) and “Driving Miss Daisy” vs. “Born on the Fourth of July” (1989). Awards Daily.

“Good Morning America” anchors Robin Roberts and Lara Spencer will be back to host ABC’s pre-Oscar special “Red Carpet Live” on March 2. Jess Cagle, editorial director of People and Entertainment Weekly, will also interview celebrities arriving for the ceremony. This will be the ffith time for Roberts, who had just returned from medical leave at this same time last year. Media Bistro.

Daniel Day-Lewis and Anne Hathaway are now confirmed as the next announced presenters at this year’s Oscar ceremony on March 2. Jennifer Lawrence was confirmed on Friday. As last year’s winners, it is assumed Day-Lewis and Lawrence are presenting the lead Academy Awards and Hathaway the supporting actor trophy to this year’s champs. No word yet on supporting winner Christoph Waltz returning yet. The Wrap.

Hot on the Oscars campaign trail, nominees Amy Adams (“American Hustle”) and Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyers Club“) appear on Bravo’s “Inside the Actors Studio” this week. Adams tears up when discussing her former co-star Philip Seymour Hoffman on this Wednesday’s episode. McConaughey discusses his career resurgence on Thursday. E! Online.

Mel Brooks will remember his former boss Sid Caesar with a special appearance on “Conan” this Tuesday. Caesar passed away last week after a lengthy television and film career. He was the star of “Your Show of Shows” and “Caesar’s Hour” in the 1950s, and Brooks was one of the members of his writing staff. Click here to watch an hour-long chat from last fall between Brooks and Conan O’Brien here. Entertainment Weekly.

George Clooney and his team from “The Monuments Men” are headed to the White House on Tuesday. President Barack Obama will screen the World War II film at a closed-press evening event. The movie has earned over $46 million since its early February debut. Clooney is a long-time supporter of Obama, raising over $15 million for him during his re-election bid in 2012. Deadline.

With three Best Picture nominees in the past four years, Sight and Sound polls David O. Russell for the 10 films that influenced him the most. They are (in alphabetical order): “Blue Velvet” (David Lynch), “Chinatown” (Roman Polanski), “The Discreet Charm of the Bourgeoisie” (Luis Bunuel), “The Godfather” (Francis Ford Coppola), “Goodfellas” (Martin Scorsese), “Groundhog Day” (Harold Ramis), “It’s a Wonderful LIfe” (Frank Capra), “Pulp Fiction” (Quentin Tarantino), “Raging Bull” (Scorsese), “Vertigo” (Alfred Hitchcock), and “Young Frankenstein” (Mel Brooks). Thompson on Hollywood.

4 thoughts on “News Nuggets: Will it be Jennifer Lawrence or Lupita Nyong’o winning the Oscar?

  1. I think Lupita will win Best Supporting Actress. Jennifer Lawrence has won two awards decided on by Foreign voters. Yes, “12 Years” had a lot of British people making the film, but it is an American story. I think the Oscars will give this film more than BAFTA and the Golden Globes did. Lupita won the SAG and I just can’t imagine “12 Years” losing all the acting categories when it is favored to win Best Picture. I think it’s close, but because of her SAG Award, the importance of this film as American history and the fact that Jennifer just won an Oscar last year, I’m sticking with Lupita for Best Supporting Actress.

  2. This category is so tricky to predict (or not!)… there are compelling arguements in favour of wach of the actresses. Aside for the more intelligent and well resoned arguements, I have a few ‘way-out-there’ theories on what factors could decide who wins:
    1. Lupita Nyongo- Of all the acting catgories, historically, first time nominees (and for a first time appearance in a film) have had most success in the Supporting Actress category. Oscar voters seem to view supporting trophies as more accessible and are more easily inclined to reward a newcomer in this category.
    -Strong oscar campaign- despite the movie not having the heavy backing of some other pictures this year, Lupita has really been putting herself out there ‘Kissing babies’ lol, attending any and every event, appearing on talk shows. Shes been charming and meeting as many industry members as she can. Shes well spoken, confident and offers a compelling and somewhat compelling feel good narrative.But most important, shes likeable and humble.
    -Split votes- in the past some oscar winners have benefitted from the other nominees spliting votes. I believe Lupita has support of the more progressive members and the younger members of the academy. This could see her pull off a win.
    -The Hathaway Effect- By the end of last years awards season,many pple had had enough of Anne hathaway. Jlaw has been on the awards circuit for two years running. Shes become such a fixture that some of the academy may also be ‘sick’ of her.
    – 2 Years in a row- as much as the academy may prefer JLaws performance, some mebers may be hesitant to give her a trophy two years in a row. Their reasoning being that she has time to win another. Lupita would be the beneficiary of these votes.

    2. Jenniffer Lawrence- Shes a member of the academy. Whether its far fetched or not i believe that it would be easier for academy members, esp the more involved and older ones to vote for Jennifer as ‘one of thier own’ on this basis.
    -The Katniss/Hunger Games factor- Jeniffer lawrence is a bona fide super star.She gave a glamorous performance in a ‘glamour movie’ that was all about the flashiness. Its arguable if this was the best performance of the nominees but she has the big name factor. A big name movie by a big name director with an all star cast nominated in all the acting categories.
    -The race card- Shes young white and hot. Need i say more???
    -Dead heat beneficiary-in such a close contest where theres nothing to separate the top two contenders,some academy members may likely vote for the more familiar safer choise, Lawrence.

  3. i just read how its voted at the oscars.BElieve me its Jlaw’s.she wil be obviously ranked second by many and first by many.that can pull a win.I dont think she even wants to win(She even revealed she voted for lupita,such a kind heart)

  4. I really think Jennifer Lawrence will win. Oscar voters may never find the chance to give an acting Oscar two times in a row, let alone in different categories, to an actress so young as Lawrence (she’s only 23) and absolutely worthy of such a record. Oscars love records and I do believe it is unlikely there will ever be an actress achieving something like that (it’s a really HUGE record), if Lawrence won’t eventually win. Plus, by winning both the Golden Globe and the BAFTA, Jennifer has some very serious precursors. Yes, Lupita has won the SAG, but in the last decade there has never been an actress who won both the Golden Globe and the BAFTA, without also earning an Oscar. If Lawrence loses now, she’ll actually buck historical precedent, by being the first actress to do so. The BAFTA win is especially important for Jennifer Lawrence: In the last 20 years (!), there has never been a winner in the supporting actress category at the Oscars, who failed to win at the BAFTAS, while being nominated there in the supporting actress category, with the only exception being Mira Sorvino in 1994, who lost to Kate Winslet at the BAFTAS, but finally went with the Oscar on hand. Also, in the last decade, there has only been one film that won the top prize at the SAG (Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture) and yet didn’t manage to win an acting award or Best Picture at the Oscars: Sideways, who won just one Oscar, in the Original Screenplay category. At this point, I don’t see “American Hustle” winning Best Picture at the Oscars and I think David O’ Russell will eventually prevail over “Her” in the Best Original Screenplay category. But do you really see “Hustle” winning just one Oscar? Unlike “Sideways”, which had 5 Oscar nominations, it has 10 Oscar nominations (the most, along “Gravity) and has been a favorite for a Best Picture win not so long ago (it still is for some). Oscar voters clearly love David O’ Russell and if they want “Hustle” to go with 2 wins, let alone noteworthy wins, this is the category to match a possible win in the Original Screenplay category. Finally, I think hhk is right. If you have read about the Oscar voting, then you understand Jennifer Lawrence will get many No. 1 votes and many No. 2 votes. She’s clearly loved by the Academy, obviously even more than David O’ Russell and at this point in her career, Oscars may really want to see a megastar like her on stage again. She’s been seen as a role model for young people, so two consecutive wins for her in such an early age make it even better: she continues to be an amazing recordwoman. The whole thing with Jennifer Lawrence winning this year seems like a temptation Oscar voters probably are not going to resist and Lawrence’s performance being the one named “scene-stealing” from most critics, especially in a cast which includes Bale, Adams and Cooper all nominated this year, isn’t a bad thing for her Oscar prospects in 2014. If Lawrence wins indeed and “12 years a slave” will win Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay, as expected by most, it will make Steve McQueen’s film the first Best Picture with the fewest wins since “Grand Hotel”, in about 80 years. But I don’t see it as something that can’t happen in a year like this. Gravity can also make the final cut in the Best Picture, but “12 years a slave” is more likely I believe. Thoughts, anyone?

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