Oscars experts: ‘Boyhood’ for Best Picture, ‘Birdman’ and ‘Selma’ battle for second

Boyhood” — which has led the Best Picture race all season long according to our Oscar experts — still sits atop the chart as nominations open on Monday. Academy members have until 5 p.m. PT on January 8 to complete their ballots online or get the paper ones into the hands of the accountants. Nominations will be announced one week later with the Oscars to be handed out on Feb. 22. 

UPDATED: Experts’ Oscars predictions in all 24 categories

Boyhood,” a labor of love 12 years in the making, remains far out front with the support of 19 of our 26 pundits (up by one vote).  “Birdman” — which leads SAG, Globe and Critics’ Choice nominations — has three boosters and odds of 6/1. “Selma” also has the backing of three Oscarologists and odds of 13/2 (it is ranked lower than “Birdman” by more pundits overall, hence the lower odds). And “The Imitation Game” has one vote and odds of 8/1.

The pundits picking “Boyhood” to prevail areThelma Adams (Thelmadams.com), Edward Douglas (Comingsoon) Scott Feinberg (Hollywood Reporter), Michael Hogan (Vanity Fair), Dave Karger (Fandango), Scott Mantz (Access Hollywood),  Michael Musto (Out.com), Tom O’Neil (Gold Derby), Kevin Polowy (Yahoo), Steve Pond (The Wrap), Keith Simanton (IMDB), Nicole Sperling (Entertainment Weekly), Sasha Stone (Awards Daily), Anne Thompson (Thompson on Hollywood/ Indiewire), Peter Travers (Rolling Stone),  Jeff Wells (Hollywood-Elsewhere), Glenn Whipp (L.A. Times), Susan Wloszczyna (RogerEbert.com) and me.

“Birdman” has the votes of three of our Experts: Tariq Khan (Fox News), Mary Milliken (Reuters)  and Jenelle Riley (Variety). So does “Selma“: Matt Atchity (Rotten Tomatoes), Thom Geier and Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post). And “The Imitation Game” has the support of Pete Hammond (Deadline).

See latest Oscar rankings when the Experts’ predictions are combined

Click here to see charts revealing how all of our Experts rank the contenders in all top categories according to likelihood of winning. And click on each underlined category below to see the individual Experts predictions for that race. Then make your own predictions here. Be the best and win bragging rights AND $1,000. 

See latest Oscar rankings when the Experts’ predictions are combined

Our 26 Experts are predicting “Boyhood” to win five Academy Awards in all: Best Picture, Best Director (Richard Linklater), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette), Original Screenplay and Editing. 

Interstellar” is expected to take home three Oscars: Sound Editing, Sound Mixing and Visual Effects. 

Birdman” will claim two Academy Awards — Best Actor (Michael Keaton), Cinematography.

Still Alice” is predicted to win Best Actress for Julianne Moore while Whiplash” should net an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor J.K. Simmons.

The Imitation Game” is forecast to claim Adapted Screenplay, “Foxcatcher” is first for Makeup & Hairstyle, “The Grand Budapest Hotel” leads for Production Design, ‘Gone Girl” is ahead for Score,  “Into the Woods” is predicted to take Costume Design and “Selma” is tipped for Song.

Click here to see how our Experts rank contenders in top Oscar races. Click here to see the rankings and odds generated by combining their predictions.

Below: The Experts’ latest collective rankings and odds for the top six categories (click on each category to see more detailed results). 

Best Picture
1.  “Boyhood” – 7/2
2.  “Birdman” – 6/1
3.  “Selma” – 13/2
4.  “The Imitation Game” – 8/1
5.  “The Theory of Everything” – 10/1
6.  “The Grand Budapest Hotel” – 16/1
7.  “Whiplash” – 16/1
8.  “Unbroken” – 20/1
9.  “Gone Girl” – 20/1
10. “Foxcatcher” – 25/1

Change from last week: “The Grand Budapest Hotel” and “Whiplash” have switched places as have “Unbroken” and “Gone Girl.”   

Best Director
1. Richard Linklater, “Boyhood” – 17/10
2. Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, “Birdman” – 2710
3. Ava DuVernay, “Selma”– 11/2
4. Morten Tyldum, “The  Imitation Game” – 16/1
5. David Fincher, “Gone Girl” – 20/1

Change from last week: Morten Tyldum (“The Imitation Game”) and David Fincher (“Gone Girl”) have switched places and odds. 

Best Actor
1. Michael Keaton, “Birdman” – 2/1
2. Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything” – 27/10
3. David Oyelowo, “Selma” – 11/2
4. Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game” – 13/2
5. Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher” – 14/1

Change from last week: Michael Keaton (“Birdman”) has bettered his odds while David Oyelowo (“Selma”) and Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Imitation Game”) have switched places. 

Best Actress
1. Julianne Moore, “Still Alice” – 13/8
2. Reese Witherspoon, “Wild” – 7/2
3. Rosamund PIke, “Gone Girl” – 6/1
4. Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything” – 15/2
5. Jennifer Aniston, “Cake”  – 8/1

Change from last week: Julianne Moore (“Still Alice”) and Jennifer Aniston (“Cake”) have bettered their odds again. 

Best Supporting Actor
1. J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash” – 3/2
2. Edward Norton, “Birdman” – 7/2
3. Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood” – 11/2
4. Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher” – 6/1
5.Robert Duvall, “The Judge” – 20/1

Change from last week: J.K. Simmons (“Whiplash”) has improved his odds. 

Best Supporting Actress
1. Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood” – 13/8
2. Emma Stone, “Birdman” – 9/2
3. Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods” – 11/2
4. Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game” – 15/2
5. Jessica Chastain, “A Most Violent Year” – 12/1 

Change from last week: Emma Stone (“Birdman) has improved her odds while Jessica Chastain (“A Most Violent Year”) has dropped. 

What are your Oscar predictions? Make your picks now — click here — or scroll down to predict the Best Picture champ using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Best predictions will win $1,000 prize. And the 24 Users with the best scores advance to a team to compete against our Experts and Editors next year. See who’s in our current Top 24 and their early Oscar predictions. Meet the guy who won our contest to predict Oscar nominations last year — and learn how he did it and how you can be our next Gold Derby superstar. Register/log in to your account so you can also compete to predict the Golden Globes, Grammys, “The Walking Dead,” “AHS: Freak Show” and more.

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