29 Oscar Experts predict ’12 Years a Slave’ will win Adapted Screenplay

All but one of our 30 Oscar Experts are predicting that John Ridley will win Best Adapted Screenplay for “12 Years a Slave,” which is locked in a tight battle for Best Picture. That overwhelming support gives this first-time nominee leading odds of 1/10 to take home an Academy Award up for his adaptation of Solomon Northup‘s memoir.

Christopher Rosen (Huffington Post) is backing the bid by BAFTA champs Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope for their efforts in crafting Martin Sixsmith‘s biography “Philomena” into a heartfelt film. They have odds of 20/1 to pull off an upset at the Oscars. 

As “Before Midnight” is a sequel, it contends in this category and reaped a bid for director Richard Linklater and stars Julie Delpy and Ethan Hawke, who were nominated in 2004 for “Before Sunset.” They have odds of 50/1 to win this time around. 

So too does Emmy champ Terence Winter (“The Sopranos”) who contends for his script version of Jordan Belfort‘s candid memoir “The Wolf of Wall Street.” 

With Ridley having resigned from the WGA in the wake of the 2007 strike, that precursor prize went to “Captain Phillips” scribe Billy Ray who turned “A Captain’s Duty”  — Richard Phillips‘ recounting of being taken hostage — into a tense thriller. He has odds of 100/1.

Review the individual predictions of our Experts here. And be sure to check out the Experts’ collective rankings and racetrack odds

What do you think is going to win Best Adapted Screenplay? Vote below using our easy drag-and-drop menu. Come back and change your predictions as often as you like till Oscar night, March 2. 

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